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We propose in this article the use of a particular version of the tests of Robinson (1994) for testing seasonally fractionally integrated processes. The tests have standard null and local limit distributions and allow us to test unit and fractional seasonal roots even with different amplitudes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582382
assumptions on weak exogeneity and cointegration. We consider OLS-based tests on long-run relationships, weak exogeneity and short … correction models ; panel cointegration analysis ; bootstrap …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612036
We propose in this article a two-step testing procedure of fractional cointegration in macroeconomic time series. It is … article. -- Fractional cointegration ; Long memory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612018
We make use in this article of a testing procedure suggested by Robinson (1994) for testing deterministic seasonality versus seasonal fractional integration. A new test statistic is developed to simultaneously test both, the order of integration of the seasonal component and the need of seasonal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612017
We show in this article that fractionally integrated univariate models for GDP may lead to a better replication of business cycle characteristics. We firstly show that the business cycle features are clearly affected by the degree of integration as well as by the other short run components of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614295
cointegration tests that do not accommodate level shifts. I consider two groups of Likelihood Ratio tests based on procedures … rank smaller than one suggested by procedures which accommodate the shifts. -- Systems cointegration tests ; Level shifts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009626747
The concept of integrated stochastic processes is widely used in empirical macroeconomics; and cointegration analysis … considerable empirical method for extracting information from monetary aggregates for monetary policy purposes. -- cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009620770
following the classical approach based on I(0) stationarity or I(1) cointegrating relationships, we use fractional integration/cointegration … three variables are I(1). But we only find cointegration in the presence of autocorrelated disturbances, which means that … opposed to classical cointegration, which implies long memory and slow reversion to equilibrium. This suggests that an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614880
The efficient market hypothesis implies that asset prices cannot be cointegrated. On the other hand, arbitrage processes prevent prices of fundamentally related assets from drifting far away. An attractive model that reconciles these two conflicting facts is the nonlinear error correction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009581105
the null hypothesis of no cointegration against alternatives which are fractionally cointegrated. Monte Carlo simulations … (EMH) ; Present Value (PV) models ; fractional cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582383