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We investigate the relationship between inflation and price variation using highly disaggregated, weekly price data for … consumption goods recorded in Germany during 1995, a low inflation period. We find a significant positive correlation between the … correlated with price changes. As the rate of inflation rises, both variability and dispersion become affected. During …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612033
In this note the unobserved component approach underlying the software package SEATS is compared with the Beveridge-Nelson type of decomposition for seasonal time series. The main strength of the SEATS approach lies in the appealing model formulation and the careful specification and adjustment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009574877
We show in the paper that the decomposition proposed by Beveridge and Nelson (1981) for models that are integrated of order one can be generalized to seasonal Arima models by means of a partial fraction decomposition. Two equivalent algorithms are proposed to optimally (in the mean squared...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009577456
We propose in this article the use of a particular version of the tests of Robinson (1994) for testing seasonally fractionally integrated processes. The tests have standard null and local limit distributions and allow us to test unit and fractional seasonal roots even with different amplitudes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582382
We make use in this article of a testing procedure suggested by Robinson (1994) for testing deterministic seasonality versus seasonal fractional integration. A new test statistic is developed to simultaneously test both, the order of integration of the seasonal component and the need of seasonal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612017
The concept of integrated stochastic processes is widely used in empirical macroeconomics; and cointegration analysis is an important framework to analyze economic time series both in single equation and in system approaches. This framework is not only suited to study the relationships between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009620770
which succeeds with high probability. -- Hedging ; superhedging ; Neyman Pearson lemma ; stochastic volatility ; value at …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009574876
We establish a relation between stochastic volatility models and the class of generalized hyperbolic distributions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009577459
Stochastic Volatility (SV) models are widely used in financial applications. To decide whether standard parametric …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578026
mean. For the volatility function, i.e., the conditional variance given the past, a multiplicative structure is more … appropriate than an additive one, as the volatility is a positive scale function and a multiplicative model provides a better … additive mean and the multiplicative volatility. The technique used is marginally integrated local polynomial estimation. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578559