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Simultaneous over- and underconfidence : evidence from experimental asset markets
Maciejovsky, Boris; Kirchler, Erich - 2001
In this paper individual overconfidence within the context of an experimental asset market is investigated. Overall, 72 participants traded one risky asset on six markets of 12 participants each. The results indicate that individuals were not generally overconfident. Moreover, overconfidence was...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614297
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Framing effects on asset markets : an experimental analysis
Kirchler, Erich; Maciejovsky, Boris; Weber, Martin - 2001
In this paper we investigate four hypotheses which are inconsistent with expected utility theory, but may well be … explained by prospect theory. It deals with framing, the non-linearity of subjective probabilities, the disposition effect, and …) found little correspondence between different experimental risk elicitation methods. -- Prospect Theory ; Framing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613618
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Should smart investors buy funds with high returns in the past?
Palomino, Frédéric; Uhlig, Harald - 2002
Newspapers and weekly magazines catering to the investing crowd often rank funds according to the returns generated in the past. Aside from satisfying sheer curiosity, these numbers are probably also the basis on which investors pick a fund to invest in. In this article, we fully characterize...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621416
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Hedging the standard of living via cost of living index futures
Schulz, Rainer - 2000
People dislike inflation because inflation erodes the real value of future nominal income and wealth. Adjustment of future nominal values via a cost of living index is an appropriate way to handle the problem of real income risk. Nonetheless an important aspect needs more discussion: If markets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612030
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Financial price fluctuations in a stock market model with many interacting agents
Horst, Ulrich - 2001
We consider a financial market model with a large number of interacting agents. Investors are heterogeneous in their expectations about the future evolution of an asset price process. Their current expectation is based on the previous states of their "neighbors" and on a random signal about the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613599
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Hedging and portfolio optimization in illiquid financial markets
Bank, Peter; Baum, Dietmar - 2002
analysis relies on the non-linear integration theory of such semimartingale families. The Itô-Wentzell formula is used to prove …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009625800
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Random times at which insiders can have free lunches
Imkeller, Peter - 2001
We consider models of time continuous financial markets with a regular trader and an insider who are able to invest into one risky asset. The insider's additional knowledge consists in his ability to stop a random time which is inaccessible to the regular trader, such as the last passage of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614874
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ExploRing persistence in financial time series
Lee, David - 2000
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009611548
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Implementing efficient market structure
Grimm, Veronika; Riedel, Frank; Wolfstetter, Elmar - 2000
This article studies the design of optimal mechanisms to regulate entry in natural oligopoly markets, assuming the regulator is unable to control the behavior of firms once they are in the market. We adapt the Clarke-Groves mechanism, characterize the optimal mechanism that maximizes the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583432
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Heuristics as decision rules : Part I: the single consumer
Güth, Werner; Neuefeind, Wilhelm - 2001
Many consumption prices are highly volatile. It would certainly overburden our cognitive system to fully adjust to all these changes. Households therefore often rely on simple heuristics when deciding what to consume, e.g. in the form of a constant budget share for a specific consumption...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612561