Showing 1 - 10 of 274
the cointegration rank in the spirit of Johansen (1988). …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580478
We propose in this article the use of a particular version of the tests of Robinson (1994) for testing seasonally fractionally integrated processes. The tests have standard null and local limit distributions and allow us to test unit and fractional seasonal roots even with different amplitudes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582382
the null hypothesis of no cointegration against alternatives which are fractionally cointegrated. Monte Carlo simulations … (EMH) ; Present Value (PV) models ; fractional cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582383
This article is concerned with the dynamic behaviour of UK unemployment. However, instead of using traditional approaches based on I(0) stationary or I(1) (integrated and/or cointegrated) models, we use the fractional integration framework. In doing so, we allow for a more careful study of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582384
A particular version of the tests of Robinson (1994) for testing stochastic cycles in macroeconomic time series is proposed in this article. The tests have a standard limit distribution and are easy to implement in raw time series. A Monte Carlo experiment is conducted, studying the size and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009611541
In this article we model the log of the U.S. and the U.K. real oil prices in terms of fractionally integrated processes with a mean shift. We use different versions of the tests of Robinson (1994), which have standard null and local limit distributions. The results indicate that if we model the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009611543
Fractionally integrated models with the disturbances following a Bloomfield (1973) exponential spectral model are proposed in this article for modelling the U.K. unemployment. This enables us a better understanding of the low-frequency dynamics affecting the series, without relying on any...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009611544
depend only on the cointegration rank under the null hypothesis. The usefulness of the asymptotic theory for finite samples … generalizes to multivariate cointegration tests just as the Dickey-Fuller test does. Thus it allows to determine the cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009611546
cointegration tests that do not accommodate level shifts. I consider two groups of Likelihood Ratio tests based on procedures … rank smaller than one suggested by procedures which accommodate the shifts. -- Systems cointegration tests ; Level shifts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009626747
This paper uses fractional integration and cointegration in order to model the DM/dollar and the yen/dollar real …. -- fractional integration ; fractional cointegration ; real exchange rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009611542