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To assess the predictive content of the interest rate term spread for future economic growth, we distinguish short-run from long-run predictability by using two different approaches. First, following Dufour and Renault (1998) a test procedure is proposed to test for causality at different...
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This paper discusses a methodology which uses time series cross sectional datafor the estimation of a time dependent … estimation of additive individual effects and which may essentially improve a traditional panel data analysis. …
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Estimation …
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We show in the paper that the decomposition proposed by Beveridge and Nelson (1981) for models that are integrated of order one can be generalized to seasonal Arima models by means of a partial fraction decomposition. Two equivalent algorithms are proposed to optimally (in the mean squared...
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theory but rather base the decision of the lag structure on a robust Lagrange Multiplier test. In contrast to U.S. data we …
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In mathematical finance diffusion models are widely used and a variety of different parametric models for the drift and diffusion coefficient coexist in the literature. Since derivative prices depend on the particular parametric model of the diffusion coefficient function of the underlying, a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009622677
regression model. Asymptotic distribution theory is developed for the estimation method which enjoys the same rate of convergence … as univariate function estimation. For the test statistic, asymptotic normal theory is established. These theoretical …We propose marginal integration estimation and testing methods for the coefficients of varying coefficient multivariate …
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