Showing 1 - 10 of 103
This paper proposes a procedure for testing alternative specifications of the short term interest rate's dynamics which takes into account that according to some restrictions the interest rate is nonstationary, i.e. the traditional test statistic has a non-standard distribution. Moreover, we do...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578570
We reexamine the expectations theory of the term structure focusing on the question how monetary policy actions indicated by changes in the very short rate affect long-term interest rates. Our main point is that the expectations hypothesis implies that very long rates should only react to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578577
To assess the predictive content of the interest rate term spread for future economic growth, we distinguish short-run from long-run predictability by using two different approaches. First, following Dufour and Renault (1998) a test procedure is proposed to test for causality at different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009617950
We introduce a new method for the estimation of discount functions, yield curves and forward curves from government … although we do show how to impose various restrictions in the estimation. Our method is based on Kernel smoothing and is … our estimation procedure is iterative, rather like the backfitting method of estimating non-parametric models. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580489
The unbiased expectations hypothesis states that forward rates are unbiased estimates for future short rates. Cox, Ingersoll and Ross [1] conjectured that this hypothesis should be inconsistent with the absence of arbitrage possibilities. Using the framework of Heath, Jarrow and Morton [4] we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009632605
certain tax class, the estimation of tax-specific term structures, and the identification of representative investors … estimation of the term structure from coupon bond prices and the valuation of interest rate derivatives. -- linear programming …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009574878
The influence of heterogeneous time preferences on the term structure is investigated. Motivated by the Preferred Habitat Theory of Modigliani and Sutch, a model for intertemporal preferences accounting for preferred habitats is proposed. In a heterogeneous world, preferred habitats can explain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009579171
This paper proposes linear higher order conditions on the term structure that allow to compute valuation bounds for any deterministic cash stream. Starting from bounds on the forward rate curve and its derivatives, which are nonlinear in the discount factors, we derive linear conditions that are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009579185
The effect of incomplete information on the term structure of interest rates is examined in the framework of a pure exchange economy under uncertainty. When the growth rate of the aggregate endowment is known, the term structure is flat and deterministic. When agents do not observe the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009659628
We provide a framework for the analysis of term structures of credit spreads on corporate bonds in the presence of informational asymmetries. While bond investors observe default incidents, we suppose that they have incomplete information on the firm's assets and/or the threshold asset level at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009620780