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Forecasting performance of market share attraction models : a comparison of different models assuming that competitors’ actions are forecasts
Klapper, Daniel; Herwartz, Helmut - 1998
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578563
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Testing for short and long-run causality : the case of the yield spread and economic growth
Breitung, Jörg; Candelon, Bertrand - 2001
To assess the predictive content of the interest rate term spread for future economic growth, we distinguish short-run from long-run predictability by using two different approaches. First, following Dufour and Renault (1998) a test procedure is proposed to test for causality at different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009617950
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Money and banks : some theory and empirical evidence for Germany
Holtemöller, Oliver - 2002
in Germany in the period of monetary targeting from 1975 to 1998 is estimated. The implications of the theoretical model …. -- monetary policy ; Endogenous money ; industrial organization approach to banking theory ; money multiplier ; vector error …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009620766
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Real estate valuation according to standardized methods : an empirical analysis
Schulz, Rainer - 2002
monthly data on appraisals and prices for commercial apartment houses in Berlin, Germany from 1980 to 2000. The appraisals are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009625798
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Multivariate volatility models
Fengler, Matthias R.; Herwartz, Helmut - 2001
Multivariate Volatility Models belong to the class of nonlinear models for financial data. Here we want to focus on multivariate GARCH models. These models assume that the variance of the innovation distribution follows a time dependent process conditional on information which is generated by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009615423
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Was there a regime change in the German monetary transmission mechanism in 1983?
Candelon, Bertrand; Lütkepohl, Helmut - 2000
Recent investigations of the transmission mechanism of German monetary policy arrive at quite different conclusions regarding its stability during the period of monetary targeting by the Bundesbank. In this study small dynamic models for the monetary sector of the German economy are analyzed in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583433
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Confidence intervals for state price densities
Hlávka, Zdeněk (contributor) - 2003 - [Elektronische Ressource]
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001916784
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Fitting the smile revisited : a least squares kernel estimator for the implied volatility surface
Fengler, Matthias R. (contributor); Wang, Qihua (contributor) - 2003 - [Elektronische Ressource]
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001919426
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Semiparametric analysis of German East-West migration intentions : facts and theory
Burda, Michael C.; Härdle, Wolfgang; Müller, Marlene; … - 1997
East-West migration in Germany peaked at the beginning of the 90s although the average wage gap between Eastern and … Western Germany continues to average about 25%. We analyze the propensity to migrate using microdata from the German … compatible with classical Marshallian theory of migration and motivates the semiparametric analysis. We estimate a Generalized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009574896
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The Beveridge-Nelson decomposition : a different perspective with new results
Gómez, Víctor; Breitung, Jörg - 1998
We show in the paper that the decomposition proposed by Beveridge and Nelson (1981) for models that are integrated of order one can be generalized to seasonal Arima models by means of a partial fraction decomposition. Two equivalent algorithms are proposed to optimally (in the mean squared...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009577456