This paper presents a general theory that works out the relation between coherent risk measures, valuation bounds, and certain classes of portfolio optimization problems. It is economically general in the sense that it works for any cash stream spaces, be it in dynamic trading settings, one-step...

VaR models are related to statistical forecast systems. Within that framework different forecast tasks including Value-at-Risk and shortfall are discussed and motivated. A backtesting method based on the shortfall is developed and applied to VaR forecasts of areal portfolio. The analysis shows...

Starting from the objective of banking supervision - to minimize the overall costs of banking to the general public - we show that the current standard of quantifying market risk is flawed. It is perfectly aligned with the interests of banks' shareholders and management, but not with the...

We establish a relation between stochastic volatility models and the class of generalized hyperbolic distributions. These distributions have been found to fit exceptionally well to the empirical distribution of stock returns. We review the background of hyperbolic distributions and prove...

We propose a nonparametric test for checking parametric hypotheses about the stationary density of weakly dependent observations. The test statistic is based on the L2-distance between a nonparametric and a smoothed version of a parametric estimate of the stationary density. It can be shown that...

A recipe is provided for producing, from a sequence of procedures in the Gaussian regression model, an asymptotically equivalent sequence in the density estimation model with i. i. d. observations. The recipe is, to put it roughly, to calculate square roots of normalised frequencies over certain...

We propose a new method of tail analysis for data featuring a high degree of leptokurtosis. Heavy tails can typically be found in financial series, like for example, the stock returns or durations between arrivals of trades. In our framework, the shape of tails can be assessed by fitting some...