The unbiasedness hypothesis -- the joint hypothesis of uncovered interest parity (UIP) and rational expectations -- has been almost universally rejected in studies of exchange rate movements. In contrast to previous studies, which have used short-horizon data, we test this hypothesis using...

We introduce a general continuous-time model for an illiquid financial market where the trades of a single large investor can move market prices. The model is specified in terms of parameter dependent semimartingales, and its mathematical analysis relies on the non-linear integration theory of...

In this paper we explore some crude approximation, calibration and estimation procedures for Normal Inverse Gaussian (NIG) variates of potential use in risk management. Among others we treat in some detail the calibration of bivariate NIG consistent with marginal NIG. -- risk management ; Normal...

We give sufficient conditions for a non-zero sum discounted stochastic game with compact and convex action spaces and with norm-continuous transition probabilities, but with possibly unbounded state space to have a N ash equilibrium in homogeneous Markov strategies that depends in a Lipsehitz...

Stochastic Volatility (SV) models are widely used in financial applications. To decide whether standard parametric restrictions are justified for a given dataset, a statistical test is required. In this paper, we develop such a test based on the linear state space representation. We provide a...

The Normal Inverse Gaussian (NIG) distribution recently introduced by Barndorff-Nielsen (1997) is a promising alternative for modelling financial data exhibiting skewness and fat tails. In this paper we explore the Bayesian estimation of NIG-parameters by Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods. --...

We have analyzed the impact of agents and their trading strategies on an experimental electronic market. Therefore, we added an XML-interface to an existing electronic market and implemented artificial agents which acted as elements of disturbance in the trading process. These artificial traders...

The paper proposes a financial market model that generates stochastic volatility and stochastic interest rate using a minimal number of factors that characterise the dynamics of the different denominations of the deflator. It models asset prices essentially as functionals of square root and...

In this paper we investigate four hypotheses which are inconsistent with expected utility theory, but may well be explained by prospect theory. It deals with framing, the non-linearity of subjective probabilities, the disposition effect, and the correspondence of different experimental risk...