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Manipulation in political stock markets : preconditions and evidence

Hansen, Jan; Schmidt, Carsten; Strobel, Martin - 2001

Political stock markets (PSM) are sometimes seen as substitutes for opinion polls. On the bases of a behavioral model, specific preconditions were drawn out under which manipulation in PSM can weaken this argument. Evidence for manipulation is reported from the data of two separate PSM during...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614875

Semiparametric modelling of the cross-section of expected returns in the German stock market

Stehle, Richard; Bunke, Olaf; Sommerfeld, Volker - 1997

According to the Sharpe-Lintner capital asset pricing model, expected rates of return on individual stocks differ only because of their different levels of non-diversifiable risk (beta). However, Fama/French (1992) show that the two variables size and book-to-market ratio capture the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009661022

Weekday dependence of German stock market returns

Herwartz, Helmut - 1999

The so-called 'Monday effect ' has been found for various stock markets of the world. The empirical finding that Monday returns are significantly smaller than returns measured for the remaining days of the week calls the efficiency hypothesis for pricing processes operating on stock markets into...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580468

Ergodic fluctuations in a stock market model with interacting agents : the mean field case

Horst, Ulrich - 1999

We consider a financial market model with interacting agents and study the long run behaviour of both aggregate behaviour and equilibrium prices. Investors are heterogeneous in their price expectations and they get stochastic signals about the "mood" of the market described by the empirical...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582400

Financial price fluctuations in a stock market model with many interacting agents

Horst, Ulrich - 2001

We consider a financial market model with a large number of interacting agents. Investors are heterogeneous in their expectations about the future evolution of an asset price process. Their current expectation is based on the previous states of their "neighbors" and on a random signal about the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613599

Predictive accuracy of political stock markets : empirical evidence from a European perspective

Berlemann, Michael; Schmidt, Carsten - 2001

In a meta study of 25 political stock markets conducted in Germany in the last decade we analyze their predictive success. Although the predictions of political stock markets are highly correlated with the corresponding polls, the markets are able to aggregate additional information. One...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614879

How to improve the performances of DEA/FDH estimators in the presence of noise?

Simar, Léopold (contributor) - 2003 - [Elektronische Ressource]

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001916770

Quantile hedging

Föllmer, Hans; Leukert, Peter - 1998

In a complete financial market every contingent claim can be hedged perfectly. In an incomplete market it is possible to stay on the safe side by superhedging. But such strategies may require a large amount of initial capital. Here we study the question what an investor can do who is unwilling...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009574876

Efficient hedging : cost versus shortfall risk

Föllmer, Hans; Leukert, Peter - 1999

An investor faced with a contingent claim may eliminate risk by (super-)hedging in a financial market. As this is often quite expensive, we study partial hedges, which require less capital and reduce the risk. In a previous paper we determined quantile hedges which succeed with maximal...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009579176

Should smart investors buy funds with high returns in the past?

Palomino, Frédéric; Uhlig, Harald - 2002

ability who controls the riskiness of his portfolio and investors who only observe realized returns. We derive conditions … too high, (ii) an informed fund manager picks a portfolio of minimal riskiness and (iii) an uninformed mutual fund manager … will pick a portfolio with higher risk, "gambling" on a lucky outcome, (iv), when the fee structure is endogenous, both …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621416