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is constructed for the German monetary sector based on M3, GNP, an inflation rate, a long-term interest rate and a short …-term rate which represents the policy variable of the DBB. Moreover, import price inflation is included as an exogenous variable … rate and shows the interaction of the main variables of the monetary sector. -- Cointegration analysis ; impulse response …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009616780
policy was satisfied. -- cointegration analysis ; monetary policy ; Markov regime switching analysis ; money demand ; vector …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583433
In this article we model the log of the U.S. and the U.K. real oil prices in terms of fractionally integrated processes with a mean shift. We use different versions of the tests of Robinson (1994), which have standard null and local limit distributions. The results indicate that if we model the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009611543
We investigate the relationship between inflation and price variation using highly disaggregated, weekly price data for … consumption goods recorded in Germany during 1995, a low inflation period. We find a significant positive correlation between the … correlated with price changes. As the rate of inflation rises, both variability and dispersion become affected. During …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612033
The concept of integrated stochastic processes is widely used in empirical macroeconomics; and cointegration analysis … considerable empirical method for extracting information from monetary aggregates for monetary policy purposes. -- cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009620770
cointegration tests that do not accommodate level shifts. I consider two groups of Likelihood Ratio tests based on procedures … rank smaller than one suggested by procedures which accommodate the shifts. -- Systems cointegration tests ; Level shifts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009626747
following the classical approach based on I(0) stationarity or I(1) cointegrating relationships, we use fractional integration/cointegration … three variables are I(1). But we only find cointegration in the presence of autocorrelated disturbances, which means that … opposed to classical cointegration, which implies long memory and slow reversion to equilibrium. This suggests that an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614880
The efficient market hypothesis implies that asset prices cannot be cointegrated. On the other hand, arbitrage processes prevent prices of fundamentally related assets from drifting far away. An attractive model that reconciles these two conflicting facts is the nonlinear error correction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009581105
the null hypothesis of no cointegration against alternatives which are fractionally cointegrated. Monte Carlo simulations … (EMH) ; Present Value (PV) models ; fractional cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582383
This article is concerned with the dynamic behaviour of UK unemployment. However, instead of using traditional approaches based on I(0) stationary or I(1) (integrated and/or cointegrated) models, we use the fractional integration framework. In doing so, we allow for a more careful study of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582384