Showing 1 - 10 of 352
maturities and moneyness dimension is neglected. In this paper we propose to estimate the implied volatility surface at each … point in time nonparametrically and to analyze the implied volatility surface slice by slice with a common principal … study a p variate random vector of k groups, say the "volatility smile" at p different grid points of moneyness for k …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613597
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001918978
The analysis of diffusion processes in financial models is crucially dependent on the form of the drift and diffusion coefficient functions. A methodology is proposed for estimating and testing coefficient functions for ergodic diffusions that are not directly observable. It is based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613611
In this paper we study new nonlinear GARCH models mainly designed for time series with highly persistent volatility …. For such series, conventional GARCH models have often proved unsatisfactory because they tend to exaggerate volatility … related to relatively infrequent changes in regime. U sing the theory of Markov chains we provide sufficient conditions for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621424
In this article we model the log of the U.S. and the U.K. real oil prices in terms of fractionally integrated processes with a mean shift. We use different versions of the tests of Robinson (1994), which have standard null and local limit distributions. The results indicate that if we model the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009611543
capturing both of the typical characteristics of the short-term interest rate: volatility persistence and the dependence of … volatility on the level of the interest rate. The model also allows for regime switches whose presence has been a third central …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612047
Alternative modeling strategies for specifying subset VAR models are considered. It is shown that under certain conditions a testing procedure based on t-ratios is equivalent to sequentially eliminating lags that lead to the largest improvement in a prespecified model selection criterion. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583885
, and the Deutschmark-US dollar. The estimation results for both models show: (i) that the unrestricted model outperforms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009579181
This paper offers a new approach for estimation and forecasting of the volatility of financial time series. No …. -- stochastic volatility model ; adaptive estimation ; local homogeneity … assumption is made about the parametric form of the processes, on the contrary we only suppose that the volatility can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009626679
The annual structure of the real GDP in the UK, France, Germany and Italy is examined in this article by means of fractionally integrated techniques. Using a version of a testing procedure due to Robinson (1994), we show that the series can be specified in terms of I(d) statistical models with d...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613608