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Alternative modeling strategies for specifying subset VAR models are considered. It is shown that under certain …. To illustrate how these subset strategies can improve results from impulse response analysis, a VAR model is used to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583885
In 2001, the Fed has lowered interest rates in a series of cuts, starting from 6.5 % at the end of 2000 to 2.0 % by early November. This paper asks, whether the Federal Reserve Bank has been surprising the markets, taking as given the conventional view about the effect of monetary policy shocks....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009618362
structure of the VAR residuals. Different approaches can be followed to serve this task. One approach is to use the Cholesky … possibility is to adopt restrictions from economic theory. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the implications of the … latter technique in a simple monetary framework for both Germany and the Euro area. VAR/VECM residuals are interpreted as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009620773
It is argued that standard impulse response analysis based on vector autoregressive models has a number of shortcomings. Although the impulse responses are estimated quantities, measures for sampling variability such as confidence intervals are often not provided. If confidence intervals are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580485
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001916974
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001919168
A systems cointegration rank test is proposed which is applicable for vector autoregressive (VAR) processes with a … estimate the break date first on the basis of a full unrestricted VAR model. Two alternative estimators are considered and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614873
are compared to the properties of the estimated VAR. It turns out that both the money multiplier approach and the … presented model of the money-creating sector with endogenous money fail to explain all the empirical evidence from the VAR model …. -- monetary policy ; Endogenous money ; industrial organization approach to banking theory ; money multiplier ; vector error …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009620766
We investigate the small sample properties of two types of weak exogeneity tests in cointegrated VAR models that are … test is based on mapping the cointegrated VAR model into VECM representation and then reducing the model using some model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009620777
Testing the cointegrating rank of a vector autoregressive process which may have a deterministic linear trend is considered. Previous proposals for dealing with such a situation are either to allow for a deterministic trend term in computing a suitable test statistic or else remove the linear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009659627