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structure of the VAR residuals. Different approaches can be followed to serve this task. One approach is to use the Cholesky … possibility is to adopt restrictions from economic theory. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the implications of the … latter technique in a simple monetary framework for both Germany and the Euro area. VAR/VECM residuals are interpreted as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009620773
Alternative modeling strategies for specifying subset VAR models are considered. It is shown that under certain …. To illustrate how these subset strategies can improve results from impulse response analysis, a VAR model is used to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583885
In 2001, the Fed has lowered interest rates in a series of cuts, starting from 6.5 % at the end of 2000 to 2.0 % by early November. This paper asks, whether the Federal Reserve Bank has been surprising the markets, taking as given the conventional view about the effect of monetary policy shocks....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009618362
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001916974
Testing the cointegrating rank of a vector autoregressive process with an intercept is considered. In addition to the likelihood ratio (LR) tests developed by Johansen and Juselius and others we also consider an alternative class of tests which is based on estimating the trend parameters of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578014
Tests for the cointegrating rank of a vector autoregressive process are considered which allow for possible exogenous shifts in the mean of the data generation process. The break points are assumed to be known a priori. It is proposed to estimate and remove the deterministic terms such as mean,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578552
Testing the cointegrating rank of a vector autoregressive process which may have a deterministic linear trend is considered. Previous proposals for dealing with such a situation are either to allow for a deterministic trend term in computing a suitable test statistic or else remove the linear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009659627
autoregressive (VAR) process is investigated. It is shown that the asymptotic distribution of likelihood ratio (LR) tests for the … criterion is used for choosing the lag length. A similar result also holds if the true DGP is an in finite order VAR. In a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009660377
stability theory developed for Markov chains. Stationarity, existence of second moments of the stationary distribution, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009616775
We investigate the small sample properties of two types of weak exogeneity tests in cointegrated VAR models that are … test is based on mapping the cointegrated VAR model into VECM representation and then reducing the model using some model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009620777