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Testing for short and long-run causality : the case of the yield spread and economic growth

Breitung, Jörg; Candelon, Bertrand - 2001

To assess the predictive content of the interest rate term spread for future economic growth, we distinguish short-run from long-run predictability by using two different approaches. First, following Dufour and Renault (1998) a test procedure is proposed to test for causality at different...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009617950

Growth regression and counterfactual income dynamics

Desdoigts, Alain - 2000

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009611551

Multiple politico-economic regimes, inequality and growth

Desdoigts, Alain; Moizeau, Fabien - 2001

In this paper, we abandon the stylized median voter and study (i) how distributional tensions can act in many different ways depending on social affinity and on the prospect of upward or downwardmobility of the different income classes, (ii) income distribution dynamics, intergenerational...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009615432

Auctions and corruption

Lengwiler, Yvan; Wolfstetter, Elmar - 2000

In many auctions, the auctioneer is an agent of the seller. This delegation invites corruption. In this paper we … propose a model of corruption, examine how corruption affects the auction game, how the anticipation of corruption affects … that may prevent corruption, and compare them to the fee schedules employed by major auction houses. -- auctions …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583882

Non-uniformity of job-matching in a transition economy : a nonparametric analysis for the Czech Republic

Profit, Stefan; Sperlich, Stefan - 1998

explorative study aims to shed some light into the black-box of the matching technology by applying nonparametric estimation …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009574874

Nonparametric estimation and testing of interaction in additive models

Sperlich, Stefan; Tjostheim, Dag; Yang, Lijian - 1998

Estimation …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009574875

The monetary model of the exchange rate : a structural interpretation

Moersch, Mathias; Nautz, Dieter - 1998

exchange rate. The separate estimation of long-run money demands leads to a "structural" error correction equation which allows …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009574885

Semiparametric analysis of German East-West migration intentions : facts and theory

Burda, Michael C.; Härdle, Wolfgang; Müller, Marlene; … - 1997

East-West migration in Germany peaked at the beginning of the 90s although the average wage gap between Eastern and Western Germany continues to average about 25%. We analyze the propensity to migrate using microdata from the German Socioeconomic Panel. Fitting a parametric Generalized Linear...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009574896

The Beveridge-Nelson decomposition : a different perspective with new results

Gómez, Víctor; Breitung, Jörg - 1998

We show in the paper that the decomposition proposed by Beveridge and Nelson (1981) for models that are integrated of order one can be generalized to seasonal Arima models by means of a partial fraction decomposition. Two equivalent algorithms are proposed to optimally (in the mean squared...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009577456

A note on stochastic volatility, GARCH models, and hyperbolic distributions

Jaschke, Stefan R. - 1997

We establish a relation between stochastic volatility models and the class of generalized hyperbolic distributions. These distributions have been found to fit exceptionally well to the empirical distribution of stock returns. We review the background of hyperbolic distributions and prove...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009577459

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