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We consider a financial market model with a large number of interacting agents. Investors are heterogeneous in their expectations about the future evolution of an asset price process. Their current expectation is based on the previous states of their "neighbors" and on a random signal about the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613599
Newspapers and weekly magazines catering to the investing crowd often rank funds according to the returns generated in the past. Aside from satisfying sheer curiosity, these numbers are probably also the basis on which investors pick a fund to invest in. In this article, we fully characterize...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621416
which succeeds with high probability. -- Hedging ; superhedging ; Neyman Pearson lemma ; stochastic volatility ; value at …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009574876
is the volatility coefficient which in turn obeys an autoregression type equation log v t = w + a S t- l + nt with an … additional noise nt. We consider the situation which the parameters w and a might also depend on the "time" t, and we study the … adaptive method of estimation which does not use any information about time homogeneity of the obscured process. We apply this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582392
Stremme 1997). We motivate our model by a discrete-time approximation and provide sufficient conditions which exclude …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580477
People dislike inflation because inflation erodes the real value of future nominal income and wealth. Adjustment of future nominal values via a cost of living index is an appropriate way to handle the problem of real income risk. Nonetheless an important aspect needs more discussion: If markets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612030
In this paper individual overconfidence within the context of an experimental asset market is investigated. Overall, 72 participants traded one risky asset on six markets of 12 participants each. The results indicate that individuals were not generally overconfident. Moreover, overconfidence was...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614297
We establish a relation between stochastic volatility models and the class of generalized hyperbolic distributions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009577459
Stochastic Volatility (SV) models are widely used in financial applications. To decide whether standard parametric …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578026
time series. It is well known that the usual nonparametric models often have less than satisfactory performance when … mean. For the volatility function, i.e., the conditional variance given the past, a multiplicative structure is more … appropriate than an additive one, as the volatility is a positive scale function and a multiplicative model provides a better …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578559