Showing 1 - 10 of 206
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009581104
We propose in this article a two-step testing procedure of fractional cointegration in macroeconomic time series. It is … article. -- Fractional cointegration ; Long memory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612018
Cointegrated VARMA models can be parameterized by using the echelon form, which is characterized by the Kronecker indices. Three different methods for estimating the Kronecker indices of cointegrated echelon form VARMA models are discussed and compared. They have the common feature of estimating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009630541
We show in this article that fractionally integrated univariate models for GDP may lead to a better replication of business cycle characteristics. We firstly show that the business cycle features are clearly affected by the degree of integration as well as by the other short run components of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614295
(cointegration). It will be shown that aggregation does not distort the cointegration relation while some other features of the data … generating process will change considerably. Cointegration tests become invalid in a single equation framework but system … cointegration analysis seems to be robust against various aggregation strategies. -- cointegration ; aggregation ; time series …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009620772
following the classical approach based on I(0) stationarity or I(1) cointegrating relationships, we use fractional integration/cointegration … three variables are I(1). But we only find cointegration in the presence of autocorrelated disturbances, which means that … opposed to classical cointegration, which implies long memory and slow reversion to equilibrium. This suggests that an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614880
the cointegration rank in the spirit of Johansen (1988). …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580478
A particular version of the tests of Robinson (1994) for testing stochastic cycles in macroeconomic time series is proposed in this article. The tests have a standard limit distribution and are easy to implement in raw time series. A Monte Carlo experiment is conducted, studying the size and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009611541
This paper uses fractional integration and cointegration in order to model the DM/dollar and the yen/dollar real …. -- fractional integration ; fractional cointegration ; real exchange rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009611542
In this article we model the log of the U.S. and the U.K. real oil prices in terms of fractionally integrated processes with a mean shift. We use different versions of the tests of Robinson (1994), which have standard null and local limit distributions. The results indicate that if we model the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009611543