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a comparable data set for Germany for the time period 1968-1990. We analyze this data set in order to identify a "best …/French for US stock returns is almost the best one in Germany. The book-to-market-ratio turns out to be the variable with highest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009661022
exchange the paper compares estimation results of parametric and nonparametric autoregressive models with respect to possible …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580468
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001917087
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578563
To assess the predictive content of the interest rate term spread for future economic growth, we distinguish short-run from long-run predictability by using two different approaches. First, following Dufour and Renault (1998) a test procedure is proposed to test for causality at different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009617950
alternative for modelling financial data exhibiting skewness and fat tails. In this paper we explore the Bayesian estimation of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612011
problem of online estimation of current values of w = w(T) and a = a(T) from the observations SI , ... ,ST. We propose an … adaptive method of estimation which does not use any information about time homogeneity of the obscured process. We apply this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582392
. However, no empirical evidence exists for Germany so far. We investigate the effectiveness of (i) self-ratings of health by … individuals and (ii) changes in self-rated health, as predictors of mortality for Germany. Methods: A sub-sample of 3 … a valid predictor of mortality in Germany, adding previously self-rated health has no effect on explaining the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009626677
Daily returns of financial assets are frequently found to exhibit positive autocorrelation at lag 1. When specifying a linear AR(l) conditional mean, one may ask how this predictability affects option prices. We investigate the dependence of option prices on autoregressive dynamics under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580460
. Institutional differences between Germany and the U.S. allow to disentangle the three main hypotheses on the announcement effect …. Consistently, abnormal returns around the announcement day are much lower in Germany than in the U.S. Although a significant …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580473