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Simultaneous over- and underconfidence : evidence from experimental asset markets
Maciejovsky, Boris; Kirchler, Erich - 2001
In this paper individual overconfidence within the context of an experimental asset market is investigated. Overall, 72 participants traded one risky asset on six markets of 12 participants each. The results indicate that individuals were not generally overconfident. Moreover, overconfidence was...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614297
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Through trial & error to collusion
Huck, Steffen; Oechssler, Joerg; Normann, Hans-Theo - 1999
In this note we study a very simple trial & error learning process in the context of a Cournot oligopoly. Without any …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580461
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Does cascade behavior in information cascades reflect Bayesian updating? : an experimental study
Oberhammer, Clemens; Stiehler, Andreas - 2001
Updating behavior in cascade experiments is usually investigated on the basis of urn prediction. But urn predictions alone can only provide a very rough information on individual updating behavior. Therefore, we implement a BDM mechanism. Subjects have to submit maximum prices that they are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613603
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Hedging and portfolio optimization in illiquid financial markets
Bank, Peter; Baum, Dietmar - 2002
analysis relies on the non-linear integration theory of such semimartingale families. The Itô-Wentzell formula is used to prove …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009625800
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Random times at which insiders can have free lunches
Imkeller, Peter - 2001
We consider models of time continuous financial markets with a regular trader and an insider who are able to invest into one risky asset. The insider's additional knowledge consists in his ability to stop a random time which is inaccessible to the regular trader, such as the last passage of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614874
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ExploRing persistence in financial time series
Lee, David - 2000
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009611548
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Learning to bid : an experimental study of bid function adjustments in auctions and fair division games
Güth, Werner; Ivanova-Stenzel, Radosveta; Königstein, … - 1999
sequencing structure of game types, game rules do matter, and directional learning theory offers a partial explanation for bid …We examine learning behavior in auctions and Fair division games with independent private values under two different … than single bids. This allows us to examine whether learning is influenced by the structural differences between games. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009581102
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Robust learning experiments : evidence for learning and deliberation
Güth, Werner - 2000
Robust learning experiments confront participants with structurally different decision environments which they …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612041
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Limited depth of reasoning and failure of cascade formation in the laboratory
Kübler, Dorothea; Weizsäcker, Georg - 2000
We examine the robustness of information cascades in laboratory experiments. Apart from the situation in which each player can obtain a signal for free (as in the experiment by Anderson and Holt, 1997, American Economic Review), the case of costly signals is studied where players decide whether...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612571
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Bayesian estimation of NIG-parameters by Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods
Lillestøl, Jostein - 2000 - Rev.
The Normal Inverse Gaussian (NIG) distribution recently introduced by Barndorff-Nielsen (1997) is a promising alternative for modelling financial data exhibiting skewness and fat tails. In this paper we explore the Bayesian estimation of NIG-parameters by Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods. --...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612011