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Financial price fluctuations in a stock market model with many interacting agents
Horst, Ulrich - 2001
We consider a financial market model with a large number of interacting agents. Investors are heterogeneous in their expectations about the future evolution of an asset price process. Their current expectation is based on the previous states of their "neighbors" and on a random signal about the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613599
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Should smart investors buy funds with high returns in the past?
Palomino, Frédéric; Uhlig, Harald - 2002
Newspapers and weekly magazines catering to the investing crowd often rank funds according to the returns generated in the past. Aside from satisfying sheer curiosity, these numbers are probably also the basis on which investors pick a fund to invest in. In this article, we fully characterize...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621416
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Ergodic fluctuations in a stock market model with interacting agents : the mean field case
Horst, Ulrich - 1999
We consider a financial market model with interacting agents and study the long run behaviour of both aggregate behaviour and equilibrium prices. Investors are heterogeneous in their price expectations and they get stochastic signals about the "mood" of the market described by the empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582400
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Flexible stochastic volatility structures for high frequency financial data
Feldmann, David; Härdle, Wolfgang; Hafner, Christian M.; … - 1998
Stochastic Volatility (SV) models are widely used in financial applications. To decide whether standard parametric …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578026
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Modeling the interdependence of volatility and inter-transaction duration processes
Grammig, Joachim; Wellner, Marc - 1999
simultaneous estimation of the interdependent duration-volatility model. In an empirical application we utilize the model for an … indirect test of the hypothesis that volatility is caused by private information that affects prices when informed investors … trade. The result that volatility shocks significantly increase expected inter-transaction durations supports this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009579173
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A local instrumental estimation method for generalized additive volatility models
Kim, Woocheol; Linton, Oliver - 2000
We investigate a new separable nonparametric model for time series, which includes many ARCH models and AR models already discussed in the literature. We also propose a new estimation procedure based on a localization of the econometric method of instrumental variables. Our method has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612037
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Semiparametric diffusion estimation and application to a stock market index
Härdle, Wolfgang; Kleinow, Torsten; Korostelev, … - 2001
The analysis of diffusion processes in financial models is crucially dependent on the form of the drift and diffusion coefficient functions. A methodology is proposed for estimating and testing coefficient functions for ergodic diffusions that are not directly observable. It is based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613611
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Semiparametric modelling of the cross-section of expected returns in the German stock market
Stehle, Richard; Bunke, Olaf; Sommerfeld, Volker - 1997
According to the Sharpe-Lintner capital asset pricing model, expected rates of return on individual stocks differ only because of their different levels of non-diversifiable risk (beta). However, Fama/French (1992) show that the two variables size and book-to-market ratio capture the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009661022
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Manipulation in political stock markets : preconditions and evidence
Hansen, Jan; Schmidt, Carsten; Strobel, Martin - 2001
Political stock markets (PSM) are sometimes seen as substitutes for opinion polls. On the bases of a behavioral model, specific preconditions were drawn out under which manipulation in PSM can weaken this argument. Evidence for manipulation is reported from the data of two separate PSM during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614875
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Weekday dependence of German stock market returns
Herwartz, Helmut - 1999
The so-called 'Monday effect ' has been found for various stock markets of the world. The empirical finding that Monday returns are significantly smaller than returns measured for the remaining days of the week calls the efficiency hypothesis for pricing processes operating on stock markets into...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580468