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A small macroeconomic model is constructed to study the transmission of the monetary policy conducted by the Deutsche Bundesbank (DBB) since the middle of the 1970s. For this purpose quarterly, seasonally unadjusted data for the period from 1975 to 1998 are used, that is, the period until the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009616780
Recent investigations of the transmission mechanism of German monetary policy arrive at quite different conclusions regarding its stability during the period of monetary targeting by the Bundesbank. In this study small dynamic models for the monetary sector of the German economy are analyzed in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583433
Alternative modeling strategies for specifying subset VAR models are considered. It is shown that under certain conditions a testing procedure based on t-ratios is equivalent to sequentially eliminating lags that lead to the largest improvement in a prespecified model selection criterion. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583885
In this paper, the empirical relevance of the credit channel for the explanation of monetary policy transmission in Germany during the period of monetary targeting from 1975 to 1998 is analyzed. While existing studies of the credit channel rely mostly on the analysis of monetary policy effects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009626675
We propose marginal integration estimation and testing methods for the coefficients of varying coefficient multivariate … regression model. Asymptotic distribution theory is developed for the estimation method which enjoys the same rate of convergence … as univariate function estimation. For the test statistic, asymptotic normal theory is established. These theoretical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009627286
In this paper, the structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) model is used to analyze short-run and contemporaneous relationships between monetary aggregates and other macroeconomic variables. This requires imposing restrictions on the correlation structure of the VAR residuals. Different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009620773
view" that contractionary policy shocks lead to a rise in interest rates and declines in nonborrowed reserves, prices and … output. We find that neither the Fed policy choices in 2001 nor those of 2000 were surprising. We provide a method to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009618362
. We compare these results to results from a standard SVECM and find that, using the Subset VECM reduces estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613616
We reexamine the expectations theory of the term structure focusing on the question how monetary policy actions indicated by changes in the very short rate affect long-term interest rates. Our main point is that the expectations hypothesis implies that very long rates should only react to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578577
It is argued that standard impulse response analysis based on vector autoregressive models has a number of shortcomings. Although the impulse responses are estimated quantities, measures for sampling variability such as confidence intervals are often not provided. If confidence intervals are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580485