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The unbiasedness hypothesis -- the joint hypothesis of uncovered interest parity (UIP) and rational expectations -- has been almost universally rejected in studies of exchange rate movements. In contrast to previous studies, which have used short-horizon data, we test this hypothesis using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583878
dealing with more than one lag. When the mean has an additive structure, however, better estimation methods are available … estimation of the conditional mean, it is equally if not more important to measure the future risk of the series along with the … interpretation of each lagged value's influence on such a function. In this paper we consider the joint estimation of both the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578559
One puzzling behavior of asset returns for various frequencies is the often observed positive autocorrelation at lag 1 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009579187
In this paper we introduce a bootstrap procedure to test parameter restrictions in vector autoregressive models which is robust in cases of conditionally heteroskedastic error terms. The adopted wild bootstrap method does not require any parametric specification of the volatility process and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009663846
alternative for modelling financial data exhibiting skewness and fat tails. In this paper we explore the Bayesian estimation of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612011
The objective of this study is to compare alternative computerized model-selection strategies in the context of the vector autoregressive (VAR) modeling framework. The focus is on a comparison of subset modeling strategies with the general-to-specific reduction approach automated by PcGets....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009627281
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exchange rate. The separate estimation of long-run money demands leads to a "structural" error correction equation which allows …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009574885
We establish a relation between stochastic volatility models and the class of generalized hyperbolic distributions. These distributions have been found to fit exceptionally well to the empirical distribution of stock returns. We review the background of hyperbolic distributions and prove...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009577459