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Alternative modeling strategies for specifying subset VAR models are considered. It is shown that under certain conditions a testing procedure based on t-ratios is equivalent to sequentially eliminating lags that lead to the largest improvement in a prespecified model selection criterion. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583885
We establish a relation between stochastic volatility models and the class of generalized hyperbolic distributions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009577459
Stochastic Volatility (SV) models are widely used in financial applications. To decide whether standard parametric …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578026
, and the Deutschmark-US dollar. The estimation results for both models show: (i) that the unrestricted model outperforms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009579181
Multivariate Volatility Models belong to the class of nonlinear models for financial data. Here we want to focus on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009615423
The analysis of diffusion processes in financial models is crucially dependent on the form of the drift and diffusion coefficient functions. A methodology is proposed for estimating and testing coefficient functions for ergodic diffusions that are not directly observable. It is based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613611
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001919426
In 2001, the Fed has lowered interest rates in a series of cuts, starting from 6.5 % at the end of 2000 to 2.0 % by early November. This paper asks, whether the Federal Reserve Bank has been surprising the markets, taking as given the conventional view about the effect of monetary policy shocks....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009618362
. We compare these results to results from a standard SVECM and find that, using the Subset VECM reduces estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613616
theory but rather base the decision of the lag structure on a robust Lagrange Multiplier test. In contrast to U.S. data we … find that the volatility depends on either the interest rate level or information shocks but not on both. Finally, we … propose to describe the short term interest rate's dynamics by means of an AR(1) model with stochastic volatility. -- Term …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578570