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In this paper, the structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) model is used to analyze short-run and contemporaneous relationships between monetary aggregates and other macroeconomic variables. This requires imposing restrictions on the correlation structure of the VAR residuals. Different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009620773
The unbiasedness hypothesis -- the joint hypothesis of uncovered interest parity (UIP) and rational expectations -- has been almost universally rejected in studies of exchange rate movements. In contrast to previous studies, which have used short-horizon data, we test this hypothesis using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583878
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001918978
Using 1985-1999 data from the German Socio-Economic Panel Study (GSOEP) to analyze wages we confirm the hypothesis that existing computer wage premiums are determined by individual ability or other unobserved individual characteristics rather than by productivity effects. While a rather large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009620769
Help Service (THS) employment, as well as the long-term effects of THS work on the future earnings of workers. In addition …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009626745
Amid lively debate on the consequences of temporary employment, the paper examines the wages and transitions of … same employer. For some temporary employment leads to unemployment, particularly those with low human capital. Positioning … ourselves between arguments on the positive and negative consequences of temporary employment, we develop the idea of a two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009627289
This paper investigates the effect of displacement on reemployment wages of socially insured West German workers who became unemployed in 1986. Because detailed information on the cause of job loss is unavailable, displacement status is imputed using a probit estimated on the German...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580479
some cases all of the employment effect, defined as the difference between median wage earned by employed workers and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612015
In 2001, the Fed has lowered interest rates in a series of cuts, starting from 6.5 % at the end of 2000 to 2.0 % by early November. This paper asks, whether the Federal Reserve Bank has been surprising the markets, taking as given the conventional view about the effect of monetary policy shocks....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009618362
Alternative modeling strategies for specifying subset VAR models are considered. It is shown that under certain conditions a testing procedure based on t-ratios is equivalent to sequentially eliminating lags that lead to the largest improvement in a prespecified model selection criterion. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583885