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Experimental "beauty contests" with homogeneous and heterogeneous players and with interior and boundary equilibria
Güth, Werner; Kocher, Martin; Sutter, Matthias - 2001
We study behavior in experimental beauty contests with, first, boundary and interior equilibria, and, second, homogeneous and heterogenous types of players. We find quicker and better convergence to the game-theoretic equilibrium with interior equilibria and homogeneous players. -- beauty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614296
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A class of Health-Jarrow-Morton models in which the unbiased expectations hypothesis holds
Riedel, Frank - 1997
The unbiased expectations hypothesis states that forward rates are unbiased estimates for future short rates. Cox, Ingersoll and Ross [1] conjectured that this hypothesis should be inconsistent with the absence of arbitrage possibilities. Using the framework of Heath, Jarrow and Morton [4] we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009632605
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Fractional integration and business cycle features
Candelon, Bertrand; Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2001
integration as well as by the other short run components of the series. Then, we model the real GDP in France, the UK and the US …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614295
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The influence of inventory effects and reference points on the rate of consumption
Bell, David R.; Boztuğ, Yasemin - 2001 - Rev.
The authors develop and test a model to study the influence of inventory-on-hand and price-based reference points on the consumption rate of consumers. The model is motivated by recent theoretical and empirical research which suggests inventory pressure can cause consumers to increase...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009615422
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Arrow-Debreu equilibria with asymptotically heterogeneous expectations exist
Riedel, Frank - 2001
In infinite horizon economies only local equivalence of beliefs is needed to ensure the existence of an Arrow-Debreu equilibrium. In fact, agents can even disagree completely in the long run in the sense that asymptotically, their beliefs are singular. -- Heterogeneous expectations ;...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613607
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Framing effects on asset markets : an experimental analysis
Kirchler, Erich; Maciejovsky, Boris; Weber, Martin - 2001
In this paper we investigate four hypotheses which are inconsistent with expected utility theory, but may well be … explained by prospect theory. It deals with framing, the non-linearity of subjective probabilities, the disposition effect, and …) found little correspondence between different experimental risk elicitation methods. -- Prospect Theory ; Framing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613618
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Fractional cointegration and real exchange rates
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2000
This paper uses fractional integration and cointegration in order to model the DM/dollar and the yen/dollar real exchange rates in terms of both monetary and real factors, more specifically real interest rate and labour productivity differentials. We find that whilst the individual series may be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009611542
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Forecasting the real output using fractionally integrated techniques
Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2001
The annual structure of the real GDP in the UK, France, Germany and Italy is examined in this article by means of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613608
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Quantile hedging
Föllmer, Hans; Leukert, Peter - 1998
In a complete financial market every contingent claim can be hedged perfectly. In an incomplete market it is possible to stay on the safe side by superhedging. But such strategies may require a large amount of initial capital. Here we study the question what an investor can do who is unwilling...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009574876
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On model based seasonal adjustment procedures
Breitung, Jörg - 1998
In this note the unobserved component approach underlying the software package SEATS is compared with the Beveridge-Nelson type of decomposition for seasonal time series. The main strength of the SEATS approach lies in the appealing model formulation and the careful specification and adjustment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009574877