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partial correlation with the stock return. In most of the annual regressions the corresponding coefficients have the correct …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009661022
The so-called 'Monday effect ' has been found for various stock markets of the world. The empirical finding that Monday … exchange the paper compares estimation results of parametric and nonparametric autoregressive models with respect to possible … against time varying means and correlation of return data in parametric models and to obtain confidence bands for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580468
alternative for modelling financial data exhibiting skewness and fat tails. In this paper we explore the Bayesian estimation of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612011
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001917087
Based on daily VDAX data this paper analyzes the factors governing the movements of implied volatilities of options on the German stock index DAX. Using Principal Components Analysis over the sample period from 1996 to 1997, we derive common factors representing "shift" and "curvature" of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612026
Political stock markets (PSM) are sometimes seen as substitutes for opinion polls. On the bases of a behavioral model, specific preconditions were drawn out under which manipulation in PSM can weaken this argument. Evidence for manipulation is reported from the data of two separate PSM during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614875
We consider a financial market model with interacting agents and study the long run behaviour of both aggregate behaviour and equilibrium prices. Investors are heterogeneous in their price expectations and they get stochastic signals about the "mood" of the market described by the empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582400
We consider a financial market model with a large number of interacting agents. Investors are heterogeneous in their expectations about the future evolution of an asset price process. Their current expectation is based on the previous states of their "neighbors" and on a random signal about the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613599
problem of online estimation of current values of w = w(T) and a = a(T) from the observations SI , ... ,ST. We propose an … adaptive method of estimation which does not use any information about time homogeneity of the obscured process. We apply this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582392
Stochastic Volatility (SV) models are widely used in financial applications. To decide whether standard parametric restrictions are justified for a given dataset, a statistical test is required. In this paper, we develop such a test based on the linear state space representation. We provide a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578026