Most of the empirical studies dealing with international business cycles have disregarded the credibility issues that play an important role in the decision to join or not a monetary union. Most of empirical applications based on asymmetric shocks have failed to account for these aspects. In...

We study the long run behaviour of interactive Markov chains on infinite product spaces. In view of microstructure models of financial markets, the interaction has both a local and a global component. The convergence of such Markov chains is analyzed on the microscopic level and on the...

We study a new type of representation problem for optional processes with connections to singular control, optimal stopping and dynamic allocation problems. As an application, we show how to solve a variant of Skorohod's obstacle problem in the context of backward stochastic differential...

We introduce and analyse numerical methods for the treatment of inverse problems, based on an adaptive wavelet Galerkin discretization. These methods combine the theoretical advantages of the wavelet-vaguelette decomposition (WVD) in terms of optimally adapting to the unknown smoothness of the...

A recipe is provided for producing, from a sequence of procedures in the Gaussian regression model, an asymptotically equivalent sequence in the density estimation model with i. i. d. observations. The recipe is, to put it roughly, to calculate square roots of normalised frequencies over certain...

The Normal Inverse Gaussian (NIG) distribution recently introduced by Barndorff-Nielsen (1997) is a promising alternative for modelling financial data exhibiting skewness and fat tails. In this paper we explore the Bayesian estimation of NIG-parameters by Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods. --...