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In this paper I consider a complex decision problem where subjects have to cope with a time horizon of uncertain duration and must update their termination probabilities which depend on stochastic events during "life". First I describe how economic theory suggests to solve the decision problem....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009581111
This note contributes to the discussion of decision problems with imperfect recall from an empirical point of view. We argue that, using standard methods of experimental economics, it is impossible to induce (or control for) absent-mindedness of subjects. Nevertheless, it is possible to test...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583877
The general framework of decision emergence (Güth, 2000a) is applied to the specific decision task of a proposer in ultimatum bargaining, i.e. to choosing how much the responder should be offered. For this purpose the "Master Module" as well as its submodules "New Problem Solver", "Adaptation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583892
Deriving advice that can in fact be utilized by boundedly rational decision makers is a central function of modeling choice making. We illustrate why this role is not being fulfilled well by standard models of full rationality and that theories of bounded rationality are needed not only for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612562
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001916817
We study a new type of representation problem for optional processes with connections to singular control, optimal stopping and dynamic allocation problems. As an application, we show how to solve a variant of Skorohod's obstacle problem in the context of backward stochastic differential...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009620781
We consider a two-scaled diffusion system, when drift and diffusion parameters of the “slow” component are contaminated by the "fast" unobserved component. The goal is to estimate the dynamic function which is defined by averaging the drift coefficient of the "slow" component w.r.t. the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578564
This paper proposes linear higher order conditions on the term structure that allow to compute valuation bounds for any deterministic cash stream. Starting from bounds on the forward rate curve and its derivatives, which are nonlinear in the discount factors, we derive linear conditions that are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009579185
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001919109
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