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This paper entertains the notion that disturbances on the demand side play a central role in our understanding of the Great Depression. In fact, from Euler equation residuals we are able to identify a series of unusually large negative demand shocks that appeared to have hit the U. S. economy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614288
When people decide about saving and consumption across the various periods of their life time they take into account their life expectancy when comparing present and future needs and resources for satisfying them. The experimental design, applied at two sites (Humboldt-University at Berlin and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578010
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001919426
which succeeds with high probability. -- Hedging ; superhedging ; Neyman Pearson lemma ; stochastic volatility ; value at …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009574876
We establish a relation between stochastic volatility models and the class of generalized hyperbolic distributions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009577459
Stochastic Volatility (SV) models are widely used in financial applications. To decide whether standard parametric …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578026
mean. For the volatility function, i.e., the conditional variance given the past, a multiplicative structure is more … appropriate than an additive one, as the volatility is a positive scale function and a multiplicative model provides a better … additive mean and the multiplicative volatility. The technique used is marginally integrated local polynomial estimation. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578559
simultaneous estimation of the interdependent duration-volatility model. In an empirical application we utilize the model for an … indirect test of the hypothesis that volatility is caused by private information that affects prices when informed investors … trade. The result that volatility shocks significantly increase expected inter-transaction durations supports this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009579173
We consider two multivariate long-memory ARCH models, which extend the univariate long-memory ARCH models, we first consider a long-memory extension of the restricted constant conditional correlations (CCC) model introduced by Bollerslev (1990), and we propose a new unrestricted conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009579181
This paper offers a new approach for estimation and forecasting of the volatility of financial time series. No … assumption is made about the parametric form of the processes, on the contrary we only suppose that the volatility can be … homogeneity, then the estimate of the volatility can be simply obtained by local averaging. We construct a locally adaptive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009626679