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is proposed to test for causality at different forecast horizons. Second, the framework of Geweke (1982) and Hosaya (1991 …
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We establish a relation between stochastic volatility models and the class of generalized hyperbolic distributions …
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Qualitative and quantitative properties of the Cornish-Fisher-Expansion in the context of Delta-Gamma-Normal approaches to the computation of Value at Risk are presented. Some qualitative deficiencies of the Cornish-Fisher-Expansion - the monotonicity of the distribution function as well as...
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For the Euro 2000 Soccer Championships an experimental asset market was condueted, with traders buying and selling contracts on the winners of individual matches. Market-generated probabilities are compared to professional bet quotas, and factors that are responsible for the quality of the...
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VaR models are related to statistical forecast systems. Within that framework different forecast tasks including Value …
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