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economic theory suggests to solve the decision problem. But since real decision makers can hardly be expected to behave … according to the theoretical solution in the problem at hand, I describe several heuristics or rules of thumb and investigate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009581111
these changes. Households therefore often rely on simple heuristics when deciding what to consume, e.g. in the form of a … commodities as food items. Using utility functions we can measure the welfare loss, caused by such heuristics, and to what extent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612561
with the standard BHW model but cannot be explained neither by rational Bayesian updating nor by heuristics identi...ed in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613603
mean ; soft thresholding ; minimax regret decision theory ; non linear estirnation ; nonparametric regression ; orthogonal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009627280
We extend the analysis of the intertemporal utility maximization problem for Hindy-Huang-Kreps utilities reported in Bank and Riedel (1998) to the stochastic case. Existence and uniqueness of optimal consumption plans are established under arbitrary convex portfolio constraints, including both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009581101
The experimental situation presents a complex stochastic intertemporal allocation problem. First, two initial chance moves select one of three possible termination probabilities which then determines whether "life" lasts 3,4,5, or 6 periods. Compared to Anderhub et al. (1997) participants are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582396
We prove existence of an Arrow-Debreu equilibrium when agents' preferences exhibit local substitution in the sense of Hindy, Huang, and Kreps (1992). Efficient allocations and supporting price functionals are identified and characterized. Under Hindy Huang Kreps preferences, equilibrium price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612019
We examine the robustness of information cascades in laboratory experiments. Apart from the situation in which each player can obtain a signal for free (as in the experiment by Anderson and Holt, 1997, American Economic Review), the case of costly signals is studied where players decide whether...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612571
In a complete financial market every contingent claim can be hedged perfectly. In an incomplete market it is possible to stay on the safe side by superhedging. But such strategies may require a large amount of initial capital. Here we study the question what an investor can do who is unwilling...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009574876
In this note the unobserved component approach underlying the software package SEATS is compared with the Beveridge-Nelson type of decomposition for seasonal time series. The main strength of the SEATS approach lies in the appealing model formulation and the careful specification and adjustment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009574877