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Volatility estimates of the short term interest rate with an application to German data
Dankenbring, Henning - 1998
find that the volatility depends on either the interest rate level or information shocks but not on both. Finally, we … propose to describe the short term interest rate's dynamics by means of an AR(1) model with stochastic volatility. -- Term … Structure Models ; Stochastic Volatility ; ARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578570
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Risk premia and financial modelling without measure transformation
Platen, Eckhard - 2000
This paper describes a financial market modelling framework that exploits the notion of a deflator . The denominations of the deflator measured in units of primary assets form a minimal set of basic financial quantities that completely specify the overall market dynamics, where deflated asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612031
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The response of long-term interest rates to news about monetary policy actions : empirical evidence for the US and Germany
Nautz, Dieter; Wolters, Jürgen - 1998
We reexamine the expectations theory of the term structure focusing on the question how monetary policy actions indicated by changes in the very short rate affect long-term interest rates. Our main point is that the expectations hypothesis implies that very long rates should only react to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578577
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The transmission of German monetary policy in the pre-Euro period
Lütkepohl, Helmut; Wolters, Jürgen - 2001
A small macroeconomic model is constructed to study the transmission of the monetary policy conducted by the Deutsche Bundesbank (DBB) since the middle of the 1970s. For this purpose quarterly, seasonally unadjusted data for the period from 1975 to 1998 are used, that is, the period until the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009616780
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Cointegrating smooth transition regressions with applications to the Asian currency crisis
Saikkonen, Pentti; Choi, In - 2000
This paper studies the smooth transition regression model where regressors are I(1) and errors are I(0). The regressors and errors are assumed to be dependent both serially and contemporaneously. Using the triangular array asymptotics, the nonlinear least squares estimator is shown to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612025
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Modeling the US short-term interest rate by mixture autoregressive processes
Lanne, Markku; Saikkonen, Pentti - 2000
capturing both of the typical characteristics of the short-term interest rate: volatility persistence and the dependence of … volatility on the level of the interest rate. The model also allows for regime switches whose presence has been a third central …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612047
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A note on stochastic volatility, GARCH models, and hyperbolic distributions
Jaschke, Stefan R. - 1997
We establish a relation between stochastic volatility models and the class of generalized hyperbolic distributions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009577459
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Flexible stochastic volatility structures for high frequency financial data
Feldmann, David; Härdle, Wolfgang; Hafner, Christian M.; … - 1998
Stochastic Volatility (SV) models are widely used in financial applications. To decide whether standard parametric …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578026
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Modelling exchange rates volatility with multivariate long-memory ARCH processes
Teyssière, Gilles - 1999 - Rev.
, and the Deutschmark-US dollar. The estimation results for both models show: (i) that the unrestricted model outperforms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009579181
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Empirical modeling of the DEM/USD and DEM/JPY foreign exchange rate: Structural shifts in GARCH-models and their implications
Herwartz, Helmut; Reimers, Hans-Eggert - 2001
- 1998, namely FX-rates measured against the US dollar (USD) and the Japanese yen (JPY). Ta account for volatility e1ustering … prices. Having identified subperiods of homogeneous volatility dynamics we concentrate on stylized facts to distinguish these … volatility regimes. The bottom level of estimated volatility turns out be considerably higher during the second part of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009616784