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Modeling the interdependence of volatility and inter-transaction duration processes

Grammig, Joachim; Wellner, Marc - 1999

simultaneous estimation of the interdependent duration-volatility model. In an empirical application we utilize the model for an … indirect test of the hypothesis that volatility is caused by private information that affects prices when informed investors … trade. The result that volatility shocks significantly increase expected inter-transaction durations supports this …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009579173

Common factors governing VDAX movements and the maximum loss

Härdle, Wolfgang; Schmidt, Peter - 2000

tool for options portfolios using the "Maximum Loss" methodology based on Principal Components. -- Implied Volatility ; DAX …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612026

Semiparametric diffusion estimation and application to a stock market index

Härdle, Wolfgang; Kleinow, Torsten; Korostelev, … - 2001

The analysis of diffusion processes in financial models is crucially dependent on the form of the drift and diffusion coefficient functions. A methodology is proposed for estimating and testing coefficient functions for ergodic diffusions that are not directly observable. It is based on...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613611

Financial price fluctuations in a stock market model with many interacting agents

Horst, Ulrich - 2001

We consider a financial market model with a large number of interacting agents. Investors are heterogeneous in their expectations about the future evolution of an asset price process. Their current expectation is based on the previous states of their "neighbors" and on a random signal about the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613599

Should smart investors buy funds with high returns in the past?

Palomino, Frédéric; Uhlig, Harald - 2002

Newspapers and weekly magazines catering to the investing crowd often rank funds according to the returns generated in the past. Aside from satisfying sheer curiosity, these numbers are probably also the basis on which investors pick a fund to invest in. In this article, we fully characterize...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621416

Quantile hedging

Föllmer, Hans; Leukert, Peter - 1998

which succeeds with high probability. -- Hedging ; superhedging ; Neyman Pearson lemma ; stochastic volatility ; value at …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009574876

How accurate do markets predict the outcome of an event? : the Euro 2000 soccer championships experiment

Schmidt, Carsten; Werwatz, Axel - 2002 - Rev.

For the Euro 2000 Soccer Championships an experimental asset market was condueted, with traders buying and selling contracts on the winners of individual matches. Market-generated probabilities are compared to professional bet quotas, and factors that are responsible for the quality of the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621415

Manipulation in political stock markets : preconditions and evidence

Hansen, Jan; Schmidt, Carsten; Strobel, Martin - 2001

Political stock markets (PSM) are sometimes seen as substitutes for opinion polls. On the bases of a behavioral model, specific preconditions were drawn out under which manipulation in PSM can weaken this argument. Evidence for manipulation is reported from the data of two separate PSM during...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614875

Predictive accuracy of political stock markets : empirical evidence from a European perspective

Berlemann, Michael; Schmidt, Carsten - 2001

In a meta study of 25 political stock markets conducted in Germany in the last decade we analyze their predictive success. Although the predictions of political stock markets are highly correlated with the corresponding polls, the markets are able to aggregate additional information. One...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614879

Nonlinear error correction and the efficient market hypothesis : the case of German dual-class shares

Breitung, Jörg; Wulff, Christian - 1999

The efficient market hypothesis implies that asset prices cannot be cointegrated. On the other hand, arbitrage processes prevent prices of fundamentally related assets from drifting far away. An attractive model that reconciles these two conflicting facts is the nonlinear error correction...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009581105