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We provide a framework for the analysis of term structures of credit spreads on corporate bonds in the presence of informational asymmetries. While bond investors observe default incidents, we suppose that they have incomplete information on the firm's assets and/or the threshold asset level at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009620780
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001917033
This paper studies the smooth transition regression model where regressors are I(1) and errors are I(0). The regressors and errors are assumed to be dependent both serially and contemporaneously. Using the triangular array asymptotics, the nonlinear least squares estimator is shown to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612025
A new kind of mixture autoregressive model with GARCH errors is introduced and applied to the U.S. short-term interest rate. According to the diagnostic tests developed in the paper and further informal checks the model is capable of capturing both of the typical characteristics of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612047
We propose a model of correlated multi-firm default with incomplete information. While public bond investors observe issuers' assets and defaults, we suppose that they are not informed about the threshold asset level at which a firm is liquidated. Bond investors form instead a prior on these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621426
; duality theory ; term structure of interest rates ; smoothing splines ; tax clientele ; arbitrage bounds …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009574878
theory but rather base the decision of the lag structure on a robust Lagrange Multiplier test. In contrast to U.S. data we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578570
We reexamine the expectations theory of the term structure focusing on the question how monetary policy actions … tests of expectations theory this implication only requires rational expectations but not stationary risk premia. Therefore …, its empirical test sheds new light on the importance of expectations theory for the determinants of the term structure of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578577
A small macroeconomic model is constructed to study the transmission of the monetary policy conducted by the Deutsche Bundesbank (DBB) since the middle of the 1970s. For this purpose quarterly, seasonally unadjusted data for the period from 1975 to 1998 are used, that is, the period until the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009616780
We propose two nonparametric transition density-based speciÞcation tests for continuous-time diffusion models. In contrast to marginal density as used in the literature, transition density can capture the full dynamics of a diffusion process, and in particular, can distinguish processes with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621413