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alternative for modelling financial data exhibiting skewness and fat tails. In this paper we explore the Bayesian estimation of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612011
Bayes estimates are derived in multivariate linear models with unknown distribution. The prior distribution is defined using a Dirichlet prior for the unknown error distribution and a ormal-Wishart distribution for the parameters. The posterior distribution for the parameters is determined and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009626682
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001919013
is proposed to test for causality at different forecast horizons. Second, the framework of Geweke (1982) and Hosaya (1991 …) is used to construct a simple test for causality in the frequency domain. This methodology is applied to investigate the … low frequencies only. -- Causality ; Time series ; Frequency domain ; Prediction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009617950
Estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009574875
We show in the paper that the decomposition proposed by Beveridge and Nelson (1981) for models that are integrated of order one can be generalized to seasonal Arima models by means of a partial fraction decomposition. Two equivalent algorithms are proposed to optimally (in the mean squared...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009577456
This paper proposes a procedure for testing alternative specifications of the short term interest rate's dynamics which takes into account that according to some restrictions the interest rate is nonstationary, i.e. the traditional test statistic has a non-standard distribution. Moreover, we do...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578570
In mathematical finance diffusion models are widely used and a variety of different parametric models for the drift and diffusion coefficient coexist in the literature. Since derivative prices depend on the particular parametric model of the diffusion coefficient function of the underlying, a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009622677
We propose marginal integration estimation and testing methods for the coefficients of varying coefficient multivariate … regression model. Asymptotic distribution theory is developed for the estimation method which enjoys the same rate of convergence … as univariate function estimation. For the test statistic, asymptotic normal theory is established. These theoretical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009627286
It is argued that standard impulse response analysis based on vector autoregressive models has a number of shortcomings. Although the impulse responses are estimated quantities, measures for sampling variability such as confidence intervals are often not provided. If confidence intervals are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580485