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Self-rated and changes in self-rated health as predictors of mortality : first evidence from german panel data

Schwarze, Johannes; Andersen, Hanfried H.; Anger, Silke - 2002

Background: Studies from several countries have shown that self-rated health is an independent predictor of mortality … individuals and (ii) changes in self-rated health, as predictors of mortality for Germany. Methods: A sub-sample of 3 … in self-rated health on predictions of mortality. Results: We find that, while currently self-rated health is shown to be …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009626677

Animal spirits, technology shocks and the business cycle

Weder, Mark - 1997

In this paper a two-sector growth model allowing indeterminacy to occur at relatively mild degrees of increasing returns is developed. It is shown that these economies of scale need only be present in one sector of the economy (investment). This feature of the model, therefore, builds on...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009659067

Did sunspot cause the Great Depression?

Harrison, Sharon G.; Weder, Mark - 2002

We apply a dynamic general equilibrium model to the period of the Great Depression. In particular, we examine a modification of the real business cycle model in which the possibility of indeterminacy of equilibria arises. In other words, agents' self-fulfilling expectations can serve as a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621410

The great demand depression

Weder, Mark - 2001

This paper entertains the notion that disturbances on the demand side play a central role in our understanding of the Great Depression. In fact, from Euler equation residuals we are able to identify a series of unusually large negative demand shocks that appeared to have hit the U. S. economy...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614288

Forecasting the real output using fractionally integrated techniques

Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2001

The annual structure of the real GDP in the UK, France, Germany and Italy is examined in this article by means of fractionally integrated techniques. Using a version of a testing procedure due to Robinson (1994), we show that the series can be specified in terms of I(d) statistical models with d...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613608

Unemployment and input prices : a fractional cointegration approach

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2000

This paper examines the relationship between unemployment, real oil price and real interest rates in Canada. Instead of following the classical approach based on I(0) stationarity or I(1) cointegrating relationships, we use fractional integration/cointegration techniques which allow for the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614880

Fractional integration and the dynamics of UK unemployment

Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; Henry, S. G. B. - 2000

This article is concerned with the dynamic behaviour of UK unemployment. However, instead of using traditional approaches based on I(0) stationary or I(1) (integrated and/or cointegrated) models, we use the fractional integration framework. In doing so, we allow for a more careful study of the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582384

Sources of German unemployment : a structural vector error correction analysis

Brüggemann, Ralf - 2001

. We compare these results to results from a standard SVECM and find that, using the Subset VECM reduces estimation …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613616

Reappraising medfly longevity : a quantile regression survival analysis

Koenker, Roger; Geling, Olga - 1999

-specific mortality in a population of roughly 1.2 million Mediterranean fruit flies (Ceratitis Capitata). The quantile regression … mortality rates at advanced ages, and the gender cross-over effect in survival functions for medflies. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580464

Heterogeneous time preferences and interest rates : the preferred habitat theory revisited

Riedel, Frank - 1999

The influence of heterogeneous time preferences on the term structure is investigated. Motivated by the Preferred Habitat Theory of Modigliani and Sutch, a model for intertemporal preferences accounting for preferred habitats is proposed. In a heterogeneous world, preferred habitats can explain...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009579171

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