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Fractional cointegration and tests of present value models

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2000

This paper tests the validity of Present Value (PV) models of stock prices by employing a two-step strategy for testing the null hypothesis of no cointegration against alternatives which are fractionally cointegrated. Monte Carlo simulations are conducted to evaluate the power and size...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582383

Modelling exchange rates volatility with multivariate long-memory ARCH processes

Teyssière, Gilles - 1999 - Rev.

, and the Deutschmark-US dollar. The estimation results for both models show: (i) that the unrestricted model outperforms …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009579181

Real estate valuation according to standardized methods : an empirical analysis

Schulz, Rainer - 2002

Appraisals are needed for decision-making and for performance evaluation. Knowledge on the accuracy of valuation methods is of general interest for banks and investors. We assess the accuracy of the German Regulation on Valuation with monthly data on appraisals and prices for commercial...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009625798

A class of Health-Jarrow-Morton models in which the unbiased expectations hypothesis holds

Riedel, Frank - 1997

The unbiased expectations hypothesis states that forward rates are unbiased estimates for future short rates. Cox, Ingersoll and Ross [1] conjectured that this hypothesis should be inconsistent with the absence of arbitrage possibilities. Using the framework of Heath, Jarrow and Morton [4] we...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009632605

Coherent risk measures, valuation bounds, and (my,p)-portfolio optimization

Jaschke, Stefan R.; Küchler, Uwe - 1999

This paper presents a general theory that works out the relation between coherent risk measures, valuation bounds, and … theory presented seems to fill a gap between arbitrage valuation on the one hand and single agent utility maximization or … full-fledged equilibrium theory on the other hand. "Coherent" valuation bounds strike a balance in that the bounds can be …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009581108

Backtesting beyond VaR

Härdle, Wolfgang; Stahl, Gerhard - 1999

VaR models are related to statistical forecast systems. Within that framework different forecast tasks including Value-at-Risk and shortfall are discussed and motivated. A backtesting method based on the shortfall is developed and applied to VaR forecasts of areal portfolio. The analysis shows...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582401

Quantile-VaR is the wrong measure to quantify market risk for regulatory purposes

Jaschke, Stefan R. - 2001

Starting from the objective of banking supervision - to minimize the overall costs of banking to the general public - we show that the current standard of quantifying market risk is flawed. It is perfectly aligned with the interests of banks' shareholders and management, but not with the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614286

The empirical determinants of the Euro : short and long run perspectives

Chinn, Menzie David - 2000

estimation methodologies such as single-equation error correction and first differences specifications. A longer term perspective …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583879

Weekday dependence of German stock market returns

Herwartz, Helmut - 1999

exchange the paper compares estimation results of parametric and nonparametric autoregressive models with respect to possible …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580468

The market reaction to stock splits : evidence from Germany

Wulff, Christian - 1999

Although stock splits seem to be a purely cosmetic event, there exists ample empirical evidence from the United States that stock splits are associated with abnormal returns on both the announcement and the execution day, and additionally with an increase in variance following the ex-day. This...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580473

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