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The analysis of volatility in financial markets has become a first rank issue in modern financial theory and practice … of volatility. Much research has been done on the analysis of realized historic volatilities, Roll (1977) and references … solved for the constant volatility parameter a using observed option prices. This is a more natural approach as the option …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009615424
We study an extension of the classical B1ack-Scholes model which accounts for feedback effects from trading in an imperfectly elastic market. The proposed semi-martingale model may be viewed as a compromise between the diffusion approach in, e.g., (Cuoco and Cvitanic 1998), (Cvitanic and Ma...
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This paper discusses a methodology which uses time series cross sectional datafor the estimation of a time dependent regression function depending on explanatory variables and for the prediction of values of the dependent variable. The methodology assumes independent observations and is based on...
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To assess the predictive content of the interest rate term spread for future economic growth, we distinguish short-run from long-run predictability by using two different approaches. First, following Dufour and Renault (1998) a test procedure is proposed to test for causality at different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009617950
For the Euro 2000 Soccer Championships an experimental asset market was condueted, with traders buying and selling contracts on the winners of individual matches. Market-generated probabilities are compared to professional bet quotas, and factors that are responsible for the quality of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621415
Background: Studies from several countries have shown that self-rated health is an independent predictor of mortality. However, no empirical evidence exists for Germany so far. We investigate the effectiveness of (i) self-ratings of health by individuals and (ii) changes in self-rated health, as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009626677