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The unbiased expectations hypothesis states that forward rates are unbiased estimates for future short rates. Cox, Ingersoll and Ross [1] conjectured that this hypothesis should be inconsistent with the absence of arbitrage possibilities. Using the framework of Heath, Jarrow and Morton [4] we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009632605
This paper proposes linear higher order conditions on the term structure that allow to compute valuation bounds for any deterministic cash stream. Starting from bounds on the forward rate curve and its derivatives, which are nonlinear in the discount factors, we derive linear conditions that are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009579185
informational asymmetries. While bond investors observe default incidents, we suppose that they have incomplete information on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009620780
This paper presents an analysis of tax clientele effects in the German government bond market from the viewpoint of … estimation of the term structure from coupon bond prices and the valuation of interest rate derivatives. -- linear programming … ; duality theory ; term structure of interest rates ; smoothing splines ; tax clientele ; arbitrage bounds …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009574878
Habitat Theory of Modigliani and Sutch, a model for intertemporal preferences accounting for preferred habitats is proposed … term bonds to shorter instruments as the Preferred Habitat Theory predicts. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009579171
The effect of incomplete information on the term structure of interest rates is examined in the framework of a pure exchange economy under uncertainty. When the growth rate of the aggregate endowment is known, the term structure is flat and deterministic. When agents do not observe the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009659628
To assess the predictive content of the interest rate term spread for future economic growth, we distinguish short-run from long-run predictability by using two different approaches. First, following Dufour and Renault (1998) a test procedure is proposed to test for causality at different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009617950
We introduce a new method for the estimation of discount functions, yield curves and forward curves from government issued coupon bonds. Our approach is non-parametric and does not assume particular functional form for the discount function although we do show how to impose various restrictions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580489
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001917033
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001919022