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Testing the purchasing power parity in pooled systems of error correction models

Herwartz, Helmut; Reimers, Hans-Eggert - 2000

not invariant with respect to the investigated sample period. -- Purchasing power parity ; Panel cointegration ; Wild …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612044

The effects of ignoring level shifts on systems cointegration tests

Trenkler, Carsten - 2002

cointegration tests that do not accommodate level shifts. I consider two groups of Likelihood Ratio tests based on procedures … rank smaller than one suggested by procedures which accommodate the shifts. -- Systems cointegration tests ; Level shifts …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009626747

Fractional cointegration and tests of present value models

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2000

the null hypothesis of no cointegration against alternatives which are fractionally cointegrated. Monte Carlo simulations … (EMH) ; Present Value (PV) models ; fractional cointegration …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582383

Fractional integration and the dynamics of UK unemployment

Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; Henry, S. G. B. - 2000

This article is concerned with the dynamic behaviour of UK unemployment. However, instead of using traditional approaches based on I(0) stationary or I(1) (integrated and/or cointegrated) models, we use the fractional integration framework. In doing so, we allow for a more careful study of the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582384

Was there a regime change in the German monetary transmission mechanism in 1983?

Candelon, Bertrand; Lütkepohl, Helmut - 2000

policy was satisfied. -- cointegration analysis ; monetary policy ; Markov regime switching analysis ; money demand ; vector …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583433

Testing stochastic cycles in macroeconomic time series

Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2000

A particular version of the tests of Robinson (1994) for testing stochastic cycles in macroeconomic time series is proposed in this article. The tests have a standard limit distribution and are easy to implement in raw time series. A Monte Carlo experiment is conducted, studying the size and the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009611541

A fractionally integrated model with a mean shift for the US and the UK real oil prices

Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2000

In this article we model the log of the U.S. and the U.K. real oil prices in terms of fractionally integrated processes with a mean shift. We use different versions of the tests of Robinson (1994), which have standard null and local limit distributions. The results indicate that if we model the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009611543

A fractionally integrated exponential model for UK unemployment

Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2000

Fractionally integrated models with the disturbances following a Bloomfield (1973) exponential spectral model are proposed in this article for modelling the U.K. unemployment. This enables us a better understanding of the low-frequency dynamics affecting the series, without relying on any...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009611544

Cointegrating smooth transition regressions with applications to the Asian currency crisis

Saikkonen, Pentti; Choi, In - 2000

This paper studies the smooth transition regression model where regressors are I(1) and errors are I(0). The regressors and errors are assumed to be dependent both serially and contemporaneously. Using the triangular array asymptotics, the nonlinear least squares estimator is shown to be...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612025

Unemployment and input prices : a fractional cointegration approach

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2000

following the classical approach based on I(0) stationarity or I(1) cointegrating relationships, we use fractional integration/cointegration … three variables are I(1). But we only find cointegration in the presence of autocorrelated disturbances, which means that … opposed to classical cointegration, which implies long memory and slow reversion to equilibrium. This suggests that an …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614880

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