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Self-rated and changes in self-rated health as predictors of mortality : first evidence from german panel data
Schwarze, Johannes; Andersen, Hanfried H.; Anger, Silke - 2002
Background: Studies from several countries have shown that self-rated health is an independent predictor of mortality …. However, no empirical evidence exists for Germany so far. We investigate the effectiveness of (i) self-ratings of health by … individuals and (ii) changes in self-rated health, as predictors of mortality for Germany. Methods: A sub-sample of 3 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009626677
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Did the Fed surprise the markets in 2001? : a case study for VARs with sign restrictions
Uhlig, Harald - 2001
In 2001, the Fed has lowered interest rates in a series of cuts, starting from 6.5 % at the end of 2000 to 2.0 % by early November. This paper asks, whether the Federal Reserve Bank has been surprising the markets, taking as given the conventional view about the effect of monetary policy shocks....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009618362
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Lag selection in subset VAR models with an application to a US monetary system
Brüggemann, Ralf; Lütkepohl, Helmut - 2000
Alternative modeling strategies for specifying subset VAR models are considered. It is shown that under certain conditions a testing procedure based on t-ratios is equivalent to sequentially eliminating lags that lead to the largest improvement in a prespecified model selection criterion. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583885
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Sources of German unemployment : a structural vector error correction analysis
Brüggemann, Ralf - 2001
. We compare these results to results from a standard SVECM and find that, using the Subset VECM reduces estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613616
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Animal spirits, technology shocks and the business cycle
Weder, Mark - 1997
In this paper a two-sector growth model allowing indeterminacy to occur at relatively mild degrees of increasing returns is developed. It is shown that these economies of scale need only be present in one sector of the economy (investment). This feature of the model, therefore, builds on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009659067
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Structural vector autoregressive models and monetary policy analysis
Holtemöller, Oliver - 2002
In this paper, the structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) model is used to analyze short-run and contemporaneous relationships between monetary aggregates and other macroeconomic variables. This requires imposing restrictions on the correlation structure of the VAR residuals. Different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009620773
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Low-probability insurance decisions : the role of concern
Schade, Christian D.; Kunreuther, Howard; Kaas, Klaus Peter - 2002
On the basis of a real high stakes insurance experiment with small probabilities of losses, we demonstrate that concern is a more important driver of WTP for insurance than subjective probability estimates when there is ambiguity surrounding the estimate. Concern is still important when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621421
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The great demand depression
Weder, Mark - 2001
This paper entertains the notion that disturbances on the demand side play a central role in our understanding of the Great Depression. In fact, from Euler equation residuals we are able to identify a series of unusually large negative demand shocks that appeared to have hit the U. S. economy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614288
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Unit and fractional roots in the presence of abrupt changes with an application to the Brazilian inflation rate
Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2001
We analyse in this article the monthly structure of the Brazilian inflation rate by means of fractionally integrated techniques. This series is characterized by strong government interventions to bring inflation to a low level. We use a testing procedure due to Robinson (1994) which allow us to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009615430
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Non-uniformity of job-matching in a transition economy : a nonparametric analysis for the Czech Republic
Profit, Stefan; Sperlich, Stefan - 1998
explorative study aims to shed some light into the black-box of the matching technology by applying nonparametric estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009574874