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Updating behavior in cascade experiments is usually investigated on the basis of urn prediction. But urn predictions alone can only provide a very rough information on individual updating behavior. Therefore, we implement a BDM mechanism. Subjects have to submit maximum prices that they are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613603
which succeeds with high probability. -- Hedging ; superhedging ; Neyman Pearson lemma ; stochastic volatility ; value at …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009574876
quantile hedges which succeed with maximal probability, given a capital constraint. Here we look for strategies which minimize …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009579176
mean ; soft thresholding ; minimax regret decision theory ; non linear estirnation ; nonparametric regression ; orthogonal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009627280
plans are obtained by re- flecting the associated level of satisfaction on a stochastic lower bound. When uncertainty is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009581101
economic theory suggests to solve the decision problem. But since real decision makers can hardly be expected to behave …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009581111
The experimental situation presents a complex stochastic intertemporal allocation problem. First, two initial chance moves select one of three possible termination probabilities which then determines whether "life" lasts 3,4,5, or 6 periods. Compared to Anderhub et al. (1997) participants are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582396
We prove existence of an Arrow-Debreu equilibrium when agents' preferences exhibit local substitution in the sense of Hindy, Huang, and Kreps (1992). Efficient allocations and supporting price functionals are identified and characterized. Under Hindy Huang Kreps preferences, equilibrium price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612019
Many consumption prices are highly volatile. It would certainly overburden our cognitive system to fully adjust to all these changes. Households therefore often rely on simple heuristics when deciding what to consume, e.g. in the form of a constant budget share for a specific consumption...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612561
We examine the robustness of information cascades in laboratory experiments. Apart from the situation in which each player can obtain a signal for free (as in the experiment by Anderson and Holt, 1997, American Economic Review), the case of costly signals is studied where players decide whether...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612571