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Structural vector autoregressive models and monetary policy analysis
Holtemöller, Oliver - 2002
In this paper, the structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) model is used to analyze short-run and contemporaneous relationships between monetary aggregates and other macroeconomic variables. This requires imposing restrictions on the correlation structure of the VAR residuals. Different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009620773
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Did the Fed surprise the markets in 2001? : a case study for VARs with sign restrictions
Uhlig, Harald - 2001
In 2001, the Fed has lowered interest rates in a series of cuts, starting from 6.5 % at the end of 2000 to 2.0 % by early November. This paper asks, whether the Federal Reserve Bank has been surprising the markets, taking as given the conventional view about the effect of monetary policy shocks....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009618362
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Lag selection in subset VAR models with an application to a US monetary system
Brüggemann, Ralf; Lütkepohl, Helmut - 2000
Alternative modeling strategies for specifying subset VAR models are considered. It is shown that under certain conditions a testing procedure based on t-ratios is equivalent to sequentially eliminating lags that lead to the largest improvement in a prespecified model selection criterion. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583885
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Sources of German unemployment : a structural vector error correction analysis
Brüggemann, Ralf - 2001
. We compare these results to results from a standard SVECM and find that, using the Subset VECM reduces estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613616
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The transmission of German monetary policy in the pre-Euro period
Lütkepohl, Helmut; Wolters, Jürgen - 2001
A small macroeconomic model is constructed to study the transmission of the monetary policy conducted by the Deutsche Bundesbank (DBB) since the middle of the 1970s. For this purpose quarterly, seasonally unadjusted data for the period from 1975 to 1998 are used, that is, the period until the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009616780
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Estimation and testing for varying coefficients in additive models with marginal integration
Yang, Lijian; Härdle, Wolfgang; Park, Byeong U. - 2002
We propose marginal integration estimation and testing methods for the coefficients of varying coefficient multivariate … regression model. Asymptotic distribution theory is developed for the estimation method which enjoys the same rate of convergence … as univariate function estimation. For the test statistic, asymptotic normal theory is established. These theoretical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009627286
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The Polish crawling peg system : a cointegration analysis
Trenkler, Carsten - 2000
After a temporary period of a fixed exchange rate regime pegging the Polish zloty to the U.S. dollar, Poland established a preannounced crawling peg regime on October 15, 1991. In this system the zloty is tied to a currency basket and devalued with a preannounced monthly rate (rate of crawl). If...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612052
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Modelling exchange rates volatility with multivariate long-memory ARCH processes
Teyssière, Gilles - 1999 - Rev.
, and the Deutschmark-US dollar. The estimation results for both models show: (i) that the unrestricted model outperforms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009579181
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Money and banks : some theory and empirical evidence for Germany
Holtemöller, Oliver - 2002
In a world with imperfect competition, market externalities or asymmetric information, the impact of money and monetary policy on the real sector depends on the way money is created. Two conflicting views of money supply can be distinguished in the literature: the endogeneity view and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009620766
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Money and prices : an I(2) analysis for the euro area
Holtemöller, Oliver - 2002
The concept of integrated stochastic processes is widely used in empirical macroeconomics; and cointegration analysis is an important framework to analyze economic time series both in single equation and in system approaches. This framework is not only suited to study the relationships between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009620770