Showing 1 - 10 of 131
We provide a framework for the analysis of term structures of credit spreads on corporate bonds in the presence of informational asymmetries. While bond investors observe default incidents, we suppose that they have incomplete information on the firm's assets and/or the threshold asset level at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009620780
The unbiased expectations hypothesis states that forward rates are unbiased estimates for future short rates. Cox, Ingersoll and Ross [1] conjectured that this hypothesis should be inconsistent with the absence of arbitrage possibilities. Using the framework of Heath, Jarrow and Morton [4] we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009632605
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001916957
This paper proposes a procedure for testing alternative specifications of the short term interest rate's dynamics which takes into account that according to some restrictions the interest rate is nonstationary, i.e. the traditional test statistic has a non-standard distribution. Moreover, we do...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578570
tests of expectations theory this implication only requires rational expectations but not stationary risk premia. Therefore …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578577
We introduce a new method for the estimation of discount functions, yield curves and forward curves from government … although we do show how to impose various restrictions in the estimation. Our method is based on Kernel smoothing and is … our estimation procedure is iterative, rather like the backfitting method of estimating non-parametric models. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580489
To assess the predictive content of the interest rate term spread for future economic growth, we distinguish short-run from long-run predictability by using two different approaches. First, following Dufour and Renault (1998) a test procedure is proposed to test for causality at different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009617950
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001917087
exchange the paper compares estimation results of parametric and nonparametric autoregressive models with respect to possible …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580468
because of their different levels of non-diversifiable risk (beta). However, Fama/French (1992) show that the two variables …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009661022