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In the West, Russia’s nuclear deterrence strategy is often described as one of “escalate to deescalate”. The thinking goes that Moscow is prepared to use nuclear weapons at an early stage in a conflict in order to “deescalate” and terminate the confrontation quickly in its favour....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013459354
. Surprisingly, differences over nuclear disarmament did not play a role in the failure of the conference, despite the growing … disarmament is a lesser concern for the non-nuclear-weapon states (NNWS) than they themselves have long been suggesting. That the … stability of the NPT does not depend on progress towards disarmament is good news. For Germany’s National Security Strategy (NSS …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013540417
Russia’s war against Ukraine seems to have no immediate end in sight, the strategic competition between China and the … US continues, and the expanding military cooperation between China and Russia increases the challenges facing the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014526761
At the NATO summit in July 2024, the United States and Germany announced that, in 2026, the United States would be deploying ground-launched medium-range missiles in Germany that can reach targets in Russia's heartland. This deployment is a critical step because it gives NATO new capabilities in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015051543
While the world’s attention is focused on Russia’s war against Ukraine and the inten­sifying conflict between the US … and China, the security situation on the Korean Peninsula has continued to deteriorate. North Korea is steadily advancing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013413361
According to the US government, the Russian government is developing a programme to arm some of its satellites with nuclear warheads. Should the Kremlin acquire this capability, it could destroy key parts of the civilian satellite infrastructure by detonating a single nuclear weapon in low Earth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015402622
A close reading of Russia’s nuclear statements and actions during the first seven months of its war against Ukraine reveals a threefold approach. Moscow is walking a fine line between a well-crafted and successful deterrence strategy to prevent foreign military intervention; a more modest and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013413348
While a second Trump Presidency would be challenging for transatlantic ties, US nuclear assurances to its NATO allies in Europe would likely be the last casualty - not the first - of a fraying relationship. There is an intrinsic incompatibility between the United States completely abandoning its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014526760
Replacing the US nuclear guarantee with a French nuclear umbrella for Europe would face major political and logistical challenges. Nevertheless, given the growing un­certainty in Europe and Asia, the German government should consider scenarios and options that go beyond today’s deterrence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014283746
As diplomatic initiatives have thus far failed to achieve the objective of a complete, verifiable, and irreversible denuclearization of the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK), and given that a military solution is generally considered to be unfeasible, sanctions have become the central...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013201672