Showing 1 - 10 of 37
This paper presents a two-sector, two-country model showing that inflation in the housing market, a low personal savings rate, and a construction investment boom can contribute to a large current account deficit. In the model, demand by a group of households in the domestic country is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009397038
’s rate of time preference. The agent exhibits excess sensitivity of consumption to current period income, even for low … long-term debt contracts reduces the income-sensitivity of consumption. A very tractable approximative Euler equation for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005648856
What is the impact of surprise and anticipated policy changes when agents form expectations using adaptive learning rather than rational expectations? We examine this issue using the standard stochastic real business cycle model with lump-sum taxes. Agents combine knowledge about future policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009368524
Using the standard real business cycle model with lump-sum taxes, we analyze the impact of fiscal policy when agents form expectations using adaptive learning rather than rational expectations (RE). The output multipliers for government purchases are significantly higher under learning, and fall...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010611668
sentiment indicators for industrial production and consumption. We then compare these with the frequency content of both … industrial production and real consumption growth data. The Hilbert-Huang methodology first uses a sifting process (EMD) to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008509431
This paper shows that the Ricardian Equivalence proposition can continue to hold when expectations are not rational and are instead formed using adaptive learning rules. In temporary equilibrium, with given expectations, Ricardian Equivalence holds under the standard conditions for its validity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008516097
This paper derives and estimates an aggregate Euler consumption equation which allows one to compare the importance of … collateral constraints and non-separability of consumption and leisure as alternative sources of excess sensitivity of … consumption to current income. Estimation results suggest that during a severe financial distress both non-separability and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004979450
We study the effects of aging population on the sustainability of fiscal policy in overlapping generations models with government debt and a pay-as-you-go pension system. The smaller the population growth rate, the lower the maximum sustainable level of deficits. When the utility function is of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005190757
In a dynamic setting, housing is both an asset and a consumption good. But should it be taxed like other forms of … consumption or like other forms of saving? We consider the optimal taxation of the imputed rent from owner housing within a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005648831
We study how a household borrowing constraint the the form of a down payment requirement affects house price dynamics in an OLG model with standard preferences. We find that in certain situations the borrowing constraint shapes house price dynamics substantially. The importance of the constraint...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005648901