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This discussion paper presents a microsimulation model of household distress. We use logit analysis to estimate the extent to which a household’s risk of being financially distressed depends on net income after tax and loan servicing costs. The impact of assumed macroeconomic shocks on this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005190733
deregulation in Finland was similar to that in the other Nordic countries. As in Norway and Sweden, household indebtedness started … loans. Measured by the ratio of household debt to annual disposable income, household indebtedness peaked in 1990 at more … plummeted. High indebtedness and overcapacity especially in the domestic sector will require several years of adjusting. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005190769
percentage change in GDP, an income surprise variable combined with lagged aggregate indebtedness, a real interest rate surprise … variable combined with lagged aggregate indebtedness, and a deregulation dummy. The innovation in this paper is the use of … surprise variables based on macroeconomic forecasts. According to the results, high indebtedness combined with negative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005648837
that they are perhaps even more strongly related to indebtedness, real interest rates and asset prices. The importance of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005648878
-specific macro variables: output growth shocks, real interest rates, and a measure of excessive private sector indebtedness. We find … more moderate level of indebtedness. Low interest rates during the recent recession may have been another, perhaps the most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011207863
. This raises the question of whether strengthening investor protection by requiring greater transparency necessarily …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008496954
The aim of the present analysis is to shed light on the question whether Central Banks should publish their macroeconomic forecasts, and what could possibly be gained in monetary policy if they did so. We show that disclosing the Central Bank’s assessment of the prevailing inflationary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423709
This paper argues that, despite the substantial independence offered by the Maastricht Treaty, the ESCB will wish to bind itself by a set of voluntary rules in the conduct of monetary policy. This binding will occur because of the demands of policy itself. The ESCB as such has no history of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005190770
In this paper, we investigate the relationship between the transparency of banks and the fragility of the banking … liquidity induces depositors to have excessive incentives to withdraw. An im-provement in transparency of a bank may reduce …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005648950
roles played by organizational structures, accountability and transparency in increasing the efficiency and effectiveness of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005648956