Showing 1 - 10 of 92
Using real time data from the OECD and fiscal policy reaction functions, this study explores euro area fiscal policies since the late 1990s. Both discretionary plans for the budget year and policy changes during budget implementation stages are investigated. The main focus is on the fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009358950
This study explores real time uncertainty in euro area fiscal policies since the late 1990s. Using real time data from the OECD Economic Outlook publications we investigate the impact of real time uncertainty on fiscal planning and debt accumulation separately for two country groups in the euro...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010611667
This paper provides some further tests for the proposition that a larger public sector leads to smaller out-put volatility. Both Gali and Fatas & Mihov have provided some evidence which appears to support this proposition. Their evidence is, however, based on a relatively small sample of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423693
How do cyclical fiscal stabilisation policies affect welfare and government bond risk premia? Using a new Keynesian model we find that the effects of fiscal policy rules on the bond premium and welfare crucially depend on the source of business cycle fluctuations. The overall effect is estimated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010818989
This study explores discretionary fiscal policies in the euro area during the time of monetary union (EMU). Ex ante budget plans and policy changes during budget implementation are investigated using real time data from the OECD Economic Outlook publications. The particular focus of the study is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010819001
In the presence of high uncertainty and limited experience, can observing the actions of other acquiring predecessors help firms make better acquisition decisions? Using a sample of cross-border M&As conducted by US acquirers in developing countries, we document a positive and significant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010945113
from the existing literature, which typically focuses on the learning of private agents during a disinflation. We build a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010541306
uncertainty and learning. We find that the presence of a strategic interaction between the home and foreign central banks creates … an additional motivation for caution in monetary policy. An activist policy designed to help the learning of the home … central bank is suboptimal since it generates a strong reaction from the foreign central bank. As joint learning by the home …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423715
has been in a boom and firms share an optimistic belief. The cyclicality of the aggregate learning outcome is moderated by … learning from equilibrium prices acts to stabilize fluctuations by discouraging information acquisition, it can be welfare …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010818998
Expectations play a central role in modern macroeconomics. The econometric learning approach, in line with the … equilibria. Further features of learning – such as discounting of older data, use of misspecified models or heterogeneous choice … by agents between competing models – generate novel learning dynamics. Empirical applications are reviewed and the roles …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008918570