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We present a model of exchange rates, which incorporates the monetary approach and technical trading, and we present the reduced form based on the minimal state variable solution, where both fundamentals and backward-looking term determine the spot exchange rates. Finally, we estimate the impact...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005648848
On 3 July 2015, SUERF organized its sixth joint conference with the Bank of Finland in Helsinki on the subject of liquidity and market efficiency. The one-day program consisted of an opening speech, six presentations, including three keynotes, and a lunchtime address. The present SUERF Study...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011414459
This paper deals with the interaction of fiscal and monetary policy when the central bank is pursuing a price stability-oriented monetary policy. In particular, we study the durability of the price stability regime when public debt accumulates as a result of ultimately unsustainable deficits....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423694
of the two. We compare the accounting definition of deficit with the economic definition which takes inflation into …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005207145
optimise. Under discretionary monetary policy the size of the inflation bias depends on the fiscal policy regime. Using the … with the alternative fiscal policy rules, and inflation and output persistence reflects the economic data. With the deficit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005207156
We investigate both the rational explosive inflation paths studied by McCallum (2001) and the classification of fiscal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423711
results in more persistent inflation as well as output responses to shocks, than without the supply-side channel. We also … discuss the different monetary and fiscal policy regimes and their implication on the stability of inflation and output. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005648851
. This was a period of very low inflation. The rate of growth in the aggregate price level was occasionally very close to … inflation. The declining prices cannot, however, be explained by lack of demand or any generalized deflationary tendencies … develops a new method for looking at the composition of inflation and illustrating how relative price dynamics interact with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005648879
This paper analyses the role of inflation expectations in the euro area. On one hand, the question is how inflation … expectations affect both inflation and output, and, on the other hand, how inflation expectations reflect developments in these … variables. The analyses make use of a simple VAR model of inflation, inflation expectations and the output gap that allows for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005648940
This paper analyzes euro area and U.S. inflation dynamics since the beginning of the 1990s by estimating New Keynesian … hybrid Phillips curves with time-varying parameters. We measure inflation expectations by subjective forecasts from Consensus … results indicate that in both economic areas the inflation dynamics have steadily become more forward-looking over time. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010818992