Nyberg, Henri; Saikkonen, Pentti - Suomen Pankki - 2012
We propose simulation-based forecasting methods for the noncausal vector autoregressive model proposed by Lanne and … Saikkonen (2012). Simulation or numerical methods are required because the prediction problem is generally nonlinear and … simulation procedures. Simulation experiments demonstrate that gains in forecasting accuracy are achieved by using the correct …