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, and forecasting. The papers apply techniques related to the analysis of unit roots and cointegration methods. <p> The … cointegration relationship is found between consumption, income and net wealth, which is in line with the permanent income … the theory of cointegration between house and stock prices, which asserts that real after-tax risk-adjusted returns on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008774212
-run and long-run restrictions that maintains the qualitative proper-ties of a monetary policy shock found in the established … fall by 1.5 per cent due to a monetary policy shock that raises the federal funds rate by ten basis points. A stock price … shock in-creasing stock prices by one per cent leads to an increase in the interest rate of five basis points. Stock price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423727
Expectations play a central role in modern macroeconomics. The econometric learning approach, in line with the cognitive consistency principle, models agents as forming expectations by estimating and updating subjective forecasting models in real time. This approach provides a stability test for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008918570
The emergence of the New Consensus in monetary policy has been followed by a renewal of interest in central banks’ operating procedures, and specifically in the role of open market operations. There is a general view that overnight interest rates are most effectively controlled by standing or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423684
The aim of the present analysis is to shed light on the question whether Central Banks should publish their macroeconomic forecasts, and what could possibly be gained in monetary policy if they did so. We show that disclosing the Central Bank’s assessment of the prevailing inflationary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423709
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On 3 July 2015, SUERF organized its sixth joint conference with the Bank of Finland in Helsinki on the subject of liquidity and market efficiency. The one-day program consisted of an opening speech, six presentations, including three keynotes, and a lunchtime address. The present SUERF Study...
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